Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/joc.5263 |
Extreme reversals in successive winter season precipitation anomalies across the Western United States, 1895-2015 | |
Marston, Michael L.; Ellis, Andrew W. | |
2018-03-15 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY |
ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 38期号:3页码:1520-1532 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Extreme precipitation studies commonly link anomalies to specific episodes of drought or flooding, while studies of precipitation volatility typically employ statistical measures of variability. This study addresses the concept of an extreme precipitation reversal (EPR), defined as an unusually wet or dry period that precedes a large precipitation anomaly of opposite sign, or more specifically the difference in the percentiles of precipitation for consecutive periods. The focus of this study is EPRs over the past 121years for the hydrologically critical winter season across the Western United States. Results show that EPR values are of a greater magnitude during the second half of the historical record than during the first half, indicating increased volatility in extreme winter-to-winter precipitation. Historically, the direction of reversals (wet-to-dry or dry-to-wet) corresponds to a similar reversal in the nature of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, although EPRs are not systematically aligned with extreme ENSO reversals. While a greater frequency and intensity of winter season EPRs in recent years is potentially problematic for water managers, the relationship with ENSO may afford proactive management and mitigation of the impacts. |
英文关键词 | precipitation variability hydroclimate extremes Western United States |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000426729300030 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE ; VARIABILITY ; ENSO ; TEMPERATURE ; CIRCULATION ; PATTERNS ; IMPACTS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37426 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Virginia Tech, Dept Geog, 220 Stanger St,MC0115, Blacksburg, VA 24060 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Marston, Michael L.,Ellis, Andrew W.. Extreme reversals in successive winter season precipitation anomalies across the Western United States, 1895-2015[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2018,38(3):1520-1532. |
APA | Marston, Michael L.,&Ellis, Andrew W..(2018).Extreme reversals in successive winter season precipitation anomalies across the Western United States, 1895-2015.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,38(3),1520-1532. |
MLA | Marston, Michael L.,et al."Extreme reversals in successive winter season precipitation anomalies across the Western United States, 1895-2015".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 38.3(2018):1520-1532. |
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