Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/joc.5091 |
Impacts of climate change on mid-twenty-first-century rainfall in Ireland: a high-resolution regional climate model ensemble approach | |
Nolan, Paul1; 39;Sullivan, John2 | |
2017-10-01 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY |
ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 37期号:12 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Ireland |
英文摘要 | The impacts of climate change on precipitation over Ireland are assessed for the mid-century period 2041-2060 using an ensemble of downscaled climate simulations, based on medium-to-low and high emission scenarios. Results show significant projected decreases in mean annual, spring and summer precipitation amounts by mid-century. The projected decreases are largest for summer, with reductions ranging from 0 to 13% and from 3 to 20% for the medium-to-low and high emission scenarios, respectively. The frequencies of heavy precipitation events show notable increases of approximately 20% during the winter and autumn months. The number of extended dry periods is projected to increase substantially by mid-century during autumn and summer. The projected increases in dry periods are largest for summer, with values ranging from 12 to 40% for both emission scenarios. Regional variations of projected precipitation change remain statistically elusive. |
英文关键词 | climate change regional model precipitation ensemble high-resolution projections |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000412095400010 |
WOS关键词 | WIND ENERGY RESOURCE ; NORTH-ATLANTIC ; PRECIPITATION ; SIMULATIONS ; TEMPERATURE ; SENSITIVITY ; PROJECTIONS ; REANALYSIS ; GENERATION ; MIDDLE |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37388 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Natl Univ Ireland Galway, ICHEC, IT302,IT Bldg, Galway H91 TK33, Ireland; 2.Met Eireann, Res & Applicat Div, Dublin, Ireland; 3.Univ Coll Dublin, Sch Math Sci, Dublin, Ireland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Nolan, Paul,39;Sullivan, John. Impacts of climate change on mid-twenty-first-century rainfall in Ireland: a high-resolution regional climate model ensemble approach[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2017,37(12). |
APA | Nolan, Paul,&39;Sullivan, John.(2017).Impacts of climate change on mid-twenty-first-century rainfall in Ireland: a high-resolution regional climate model ensemble approach.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,37(12). |
MLA | Nolan, Paul,et al."Impacts of climate change on mid-twenty-first-century rainfall in Ireland: a high-resolution regional climate model ensemble approach".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 37.12(2017). |
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