Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/joc.5714 |
High-resolution projection of climate change and extremity over Israel using COSMO-CLM | |
Hochman, Assaf1,2,3; Mercogliano, Paola4,5; Alpert, Pinhas1; Saaroni, Hadas3; Bucchignani, Edoardo4,5 | |
2018-11-30 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY |
ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 38期号:14页码:5095-5106 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Israel; Italy |
英文摘要 | High-resolution climate projections over Israel (about 8 km) have been obtained with the regional model COSMO-CLM, nested into the CORDEX-MENA simulations at 25 km resolution. This simulation provides high-resolution spatial variability of total precipitation and precipitation intensity. Projections are presented not only in terms of average properties, but also using a subset of extreme temperature and precipitation indices from the standard Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) for the period 2041-2070 with respect to 1981-2010 (RCP4.5). A general increase in seasonal mean temperature is projected throughout the domain with peaks of similar to 2.5 degrees C, especially in winter and autumn. Extreme temperature indices show increases, larger in the minimum than in the maximum temperatures. Regarding total seasonal precipitation, decreases were found in the north and central Mediterranean climate parts of Israel, with reductions reaching similar to 40%, and increases of the same percentage in the most southern arid parts during winter and spring. An increase in precipitation intensity is shown mostly for the southern arid part of the region, with some indications of extremity also in the north. This spatial pattern probably results from a decrease in cyclones' occurrences, which mainly influences the northern and central parts of Israel, and an increase in convective activity in the south. The outcome of this study can serve as a basis for priority setting and policy formulation towards better climate adaptation. |
英文关键词 | COSMO-CLM downscaling eastern Mediterranean ETCCDI extreme precipitation extreme temperature Israel RCM |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000452430000004 |
WOS关键词 | NORTH-AFRICA DOMAIN ; PRECIPITATION EVENTS ; MIDDLE-EAST ; SIMULATIONS ; TEMPERATURE ; RAINFALL ; MOISTURE ; TRENDS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37367 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Tel Aviv Univ, Sch Geosci, Dept Geosci, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel; 2.Tel Aviv Univ, Porter Sch Environm Studies, Sch Geosci, Tel Aviv, Israel; 3.Tel Aviv Univ, Dept Geog & Human Environm, Sch Geosci, Tel Aviv, Israel; 4.CMCC Euromediterranean Ctr Climate Change, Capua, Italy; 5.CIRA Centro Italiano Ric Aerospaziali, Capua, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hochman, Assaf,Mercogliano, Paola,Alpert, Pinhas,et al. High-resolution projection of climate change and extremity over Israel using COSMO-CLM[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2018,38(14):5095-5106. |
APA | Hochman, Assaf,Mercogliano, Paola,Alpert, Pinhas,Saaroni, Hadas,&Bucchignani, Edoardo.(2018).High-resolution projection of climate change and extremity over Israel using COSMO-CLM.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,38(14),5095-5106. |
MLA | Hochman, Assaf,et al."High-resolution projection of climate change and extremity over Israel using COSMO-CLM".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 38.14(2018):5095-5106. |
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