GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/joc.4910
Response of long-term water availability to more extreme climate in the Pearl River Basin, China
Li, Jianfeng1,2,3; Zhang, Lu3; Shi, Xiaogang3; Chen, Yongqin David2,4
2017-06-15
发表期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2017
卷号37期号:7
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China; Australia
英文摘要

Under global warming, increasing temporal variability of climatic factors at various timescales (e.g. from inter-daily to inter-annual) has been reported in many places of the world over the past decades. The changes of temporal variability can be characterized by more extreme climate, such as more frequent and intensive heavy precipitation, less light rain days, and longer dry spells. These changes can subsequently bring about more frequent and intensive hydrologic extremes, including floods and droughts. This study shows that increase in inter-daily variability of precipitation and temperature not only triggers more intensive hydrologic extremes, but also causes considerable impacts on long-term water availability. Sixteen climate scenarios are designed to separate overall changes of precipitation and temperature into two aspects: (1) change in monthly mean and (2) change in inter-daily variability. Runoff of the Pearl River Basin (PRB) is simulated by the variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model under these scenarios. The results indicate that increase in inter-daily variability of the climate alone can lead to considerable increase in long-term water availability with reduced actual evapotranspiration (AET). The simulations also show that the inter-daily interaction between precipitation and temperature (i.e. lower temperature on a rain day) is important for long-term hydrologic simulations. The changing directions of simulated AET under scenarios with this interaction are opposite to those under scenarios without the interaction.


英文关键词climate change temporal variability variable infiltration capacity model water availability Pearl River Basin
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000404851400013
WOS关键词CHANGING CLIMATE ; HYDROLOGIC MODEL ; VIC-2L MODEL ; PRECIPITATION ; STREAMFLOW ; CMIP5 ; DROUGHT ; RUNOFF ; IMPACT ; STATES
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36960
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Hong Kong Baptist Univ, Dept Geog, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China;
2.Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Dept Geog & Resource Management, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China;
3.CSIRO Land & Water, Canberra, ACT, Australia;
4.Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Inst Environm Energy & Sustainabil, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Li, Jianfeng,Zhang, Lu,Shi, Xiaogang,et al. Response of long-term water availability to more extreme climate in the Pearl River Basin, China[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2017,37(7).
APA Li, Jianfeng,Zhang, Lu,Shi, Xiaogang,&Chen, Yongqin David.(2017).Response of long-term water availability to more extreme climate in the Pearl River Basin, China.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,37(7).
MLA Li, Jianfeng,et al."Response of long-term water availability to more extreme climate in the Pearl River Basin, China".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 37.7(2017).
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