Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/joc.4910 |
Response of long-term water availability to more extreme climate in the Pearl River Basin, China | |
Li, Jianfeng1,2,3; Zhang, Lu3; Shi, Xiaogang3; Chen, Yongqin David2,4 | |
2017-06-15 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY |
ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 37期号:7 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China; Australia |
英文摘要 | Under global warming, increasing temporal variability of climatic factors at various timescales (e.g. from inter-daily to inter-annual) has been reported in many places of the world over the past decades. The changes of temporal variability can be characterized by more extreme climate, such as more frequent and intensive heavy precipitation, less light rain days, and longer dry spells. These changes can subsequently bring about more frequent and intensive hydrologic extremes, including floods and droughts. This study shows that increase in inter-daily variability of precipitation and temperature not only triggers more intensive hydrologic extremes, but also causes considerable impacts on long-term water availability. Sixteen climate scenarios are designed to separate overall changes of precipitation and temperature into two aspects: (1) change in monthly mean and (2) change in inter-daily variability. Runoff of the Pearl River Basin (PRB) is simulated by the variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model under these scenarios. The results indicate that increase in inter-daily variability of the climate alone can lead to considerable increase in long-term water availability with reduced actual evapotranspiration (AET). The simulations also show that the inter-daily interaction between precipitation and temperature (i.e. lower temperature on a rain day) is important for long-term hydrologic simulations. The changing directions of simulated AET under scenarios with this interaction are opposite to those under scenarios without the interaction. |
英文关键词 | climate change temporal variability variable infiltration capacity model water availability Pearl River Basin |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000404851400013 |
WOS关键词 | CHANGING CLIMATE ; HYDROLOGIC MODEL ; VIC-2L MODEL ; PRECIPITATION ; STREAMFLOW ; CMIP5 ; DROUGHT ; RUNOFF ; IMPACT ; STATES |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36960 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Hong Kong Baptist Univ, Dept Geog, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China; 2.Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Dept Geog & Resource Management, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China; 3.CSIRO Land & Water, Canberra, ACT, Australia; 4.Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Inst Environm Energy & Sustainabil, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Jianfeng,Zhang, Lu,Shi, Xiaogang,et al. Response of long-term water availability to more extreme climate in the Pearl River Basin, China[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2017,37(7). |
APA | Li, Jianfeng,Zhang, Lu,Shi, Xiaogang,&Chen, Yongqin David.(2017).Response of long-term water availability to more extreme climate in the Pearl River Basin, China.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,37(7). |
MLA | Li, Jianfeng,et al."Response of long-term water availability to more extreme climate in the Pearl River Basin, China".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 37.7(2017). |
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