资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

The seasonal and interannual variability of the mid-tropospheric Botswana High and its relationships with various characteristics of rainfall and temperature over southern Africa are examined. This High typically forms in August and then strengthens and moves southward over southern Africa during the spring and summer. It also expands in zonal extent so that by March it is part of an anticyclonic ridge extending from the South Atlantic Convergence Zone eastwards over this ocean, across southern Africa and to the western Indian Ocean, with its greatest intensity in February. Its position is always to the south and southeast of the region of heavy precipitation across tropical southern Africa associated with the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and its meridional arm that passes through the eastern Congo Basin. Substantial interannual variability exists in the strength of the Botswana High. While the High is typically stronger (weaker) during El Nino (La Nina) events, there are also a number of neutral El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) summers with large anomalies in the Botswana High. Neutral summers with an anomalously weak Botswana High are also characterized by a cyclonic anomaly extending from Angola south to the Antarctic and an anticyclonic anomaly over the South West Indian Ocean. These circulation patterns favour the development of tropical extratropical cloud bands, the main synoptic summer rainfall producing system, and the inflow of more moisture from the Indian Ocean towards the source of the cloud bands and hence increased rainfall. Roughly, the reverse circulation anomalies occur during neutral summers with anomalously large values of the Botswana High. Relationships are also found between the Botswana High and dry spell frequency, maximum temperature, diurnal temperature range and the number of days with extreme temperatures during the summer.