GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/joc.5444
Teleconnections between ENSO and rainfall and drought in Puerto Rico
Torres-Valcarcela, Angel R.1,2
2018-04-01
发表期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2018
卷号38页码:E1190-E1204
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

An analytical study was conducted to assess the long-term influence, role, and impacts of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Puerto Rico's precipitation patterns and significant moisture deficits (droughts). Detection and attribution was addressed by evaluating local rainfall measures and ENSO-related data to (1) detect ENSO signals and patterns, (2) quantify the magnitude of any impacts, and (3) determine if ENSO may be an important factor for local prediction of future droughts. Data were evaluated at different time periods and two spatial scales (island-wide and internal climate regions of Puerto Rico). Although a signal was detected, it was weak, in both directions, varied regionally, and has inconsequential impacts. No evidence was found for a major control by ENSO over local monthly, seasonal, and yearly rainfall for any climate regions on the island. These results indicate that ENSO is not a main factor causing droughts in Puerto Rico for the study period and thus should not be a factor in predicting the potential for local dry periods or large precipitation deficits in the future. Any presumed teleconnections between Puerto Rico's dry periods and ENSO are not based on current climatological evidence. Thus, local drought prediction efforts should be focused on finding major causes of local rainfall variation other than ENSO.


英文关键词ENSO teleconnections local rainfall
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000431999600079
WOS关键词POTENTIAL VORTICITY STREAMERS ; CARIBBEAN RAINFALL ; TROPICAL ATLANTIC ; EL-NINO ; MIDSUMMER DROUGHT ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; LAND-COVER ; IMPACTS ; VARIABILITY ; PRECIPITATION
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36780
专题气候变化
作者单位1.COSUAM Puerto Rico, San Juan, PR USA;
2.Univ Puerto Rico, Nat Sci Fac, Dept Environm Sci, Rio Piedras, PR USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Torres-Valcarcela, Angel R.. Teleconnections between ENSO and rainfall and drought in Puerto Rico[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2018,38:E1190-E1204.
APA Torres-Valcarcela, Angel R..(2018).Teleconnections between ENSO and rainfall and drought in Puerto Rico.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,38,E1190-E1204.
MLA Torres-Valcarcela, Angel R.."Teleconnections between ENSO and rainfall and drought in Puerto Rico".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 38(2018):E1190-E1204.
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