Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/joc.5782 |
Is there a quiescent typhoon season over the western North Pacific following a strong El Nino event? | |
Wang, Chao1,2,3; Wu, Liguang1,2,3,4; Zhao, Haikun1,2; Cao, Jian3; Tian, Wei1,2 | |
2019 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
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ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 39期号:1页码:61-73 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China; USA |
英文摘要 | Previous studies found that tropical cyclone (TC) formation is generally suppressed over the western North Pacific (WNP) following strong El Nino events. The 2015/2016 event is identified as one of the three major El Nino events since 1950. However, a climatological average of 26 named TCs occurred over the WNP in 2016. The plausible causes for this inconsistency are investigated in this study. By examining the historical records, we also found that 28 named TCs occurred over the WNP following 1991/1992 El Nino. For most strong El Nino cases, the suppressed TC formation in the ensuing early season (January-June) can persist to the peak season and lead to the negative TC frequency anomalies. However, TC formation turns to be active during August-October in 1992 and 2016, offsetting the suppressed TC formation in the early season and thus resulting in the climatological annual TC counts. It is found that anomalous sea surface temperature (SST) cooling over the north Indian Ocean and SST warming over the tropical North Pacific contribute to the enhanced TC formation in 1992 by stimulating an anomalous cyclonic circulation over the WNP, while the tri-polar SST pattern across the tropical Indo-western Pacific Ocean and the related convergence zone over 130 degrees-160 degrees E are responsible for the enhanced TC formation in 2016. The results indicate the crucial role of SST evolution over the north Indian Ocean and tropical Pacific in TC formation following strong El Nino events, which has important implication for the seasonal forecasting of TC activity over the WNP. |
英文关键词 | genesis frequency large-scale conditions strong El Nino ensuing TC season |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000459638400006 |
WOS关键词 | TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY ; UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH ; SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; STORM FORMATION ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS ; COMBINATION-MODE ; OCEAN CAPACITOR ; GCM SIMULATION ; ENSO EVENTS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36566 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Joint Int Res Lab Climate & Environm Change, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster,Minist Educ, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Pacific Typhoon Res Ctr, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 3.Univ Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA; 4.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, State Key Lab Severe Weather, Beijing, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Chao,Wu, Liguang,Zhao, Haikun,et al. Is there a quiescent typhoon season over the western North Pacific following a strong El Nino event?[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2019,39(1):61-73. |
APA | Wang, Chao,Wu, Liguang,Zhao, Haikun,Cao, Jian,&Tian, Wei.(2019).Is there a quiescent typhoon season over the western North Pacific following a strong El Nino event?.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,39(1),61-73. |
MLA | Wang, Chao,et al."Is there a quiescent typhoon season over the western North Pacific following a strong El Nino event?".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 39.1(2019):61-73. |
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