Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aad965 |
How big is the energy efficiency resource? | |
Lovins, Amory B. | |
2018-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 13期号:9 |
文章类型 | Editorial Material |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Most economic theorists assume that energy efficiency-the biggest global provider of energy services-is a limited and dwindling resource whose price- and policy-driven adoption will inevitably deplete its potential and raise its cost. Influenced by that theoretical construct, most traditional analysts and deployers of energy efficiency see and exploit only a modest fraction of the worthwhile efficiency resource, saving less and paying more than they should. Yet empirically, modern energy efficiency is, and shows every sign of durably remaining, an expanding-quantity, declining-cost resource. Its adoption is constrained by major but correctable market failures and increasingly motivated by positive externalities. Most importantly, in both newbuild and retrofit applications, its quantity is severalfold larger and its cost lower than most in the energy and climate communities realize. The efficiency resource far exceeds the sum of savings by individual technologies because artfully choosing, combining, sequencing, and timing fewer and simpler technologies can save more energy at lower cost than deploying more and fancier but dis-integrated and randomly timed technologies. Such 'integrative design' is not yet widely known or applied, and can seem difficult because it is simple, but is well proven, rapidly evolving, and gradually spreading. Yet the same economic models that could not predict the renewable energy revolution also ignore integrative design and hence cannot recognize most of the efficiency resource or reserves. This analytic gap makes climate-changemitigation look harder and costlier than it really is, diverting attention and investment to inferior options. With energy efficiency as its cornerstone and needing its pace redoubled, climate protection depends critically on seeing and deploying the entire efficiency resource. This requires focusing less on individual technologies than on whole systems (buildings, factories, vehicles, and the larger systems embedding them), and replacing theoretical assumptions about efficiency's diminishing returns with practitioners' empirical evidence of expanding returns. |
英文关键词 | increasing returns |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000445042400001 |
WOS关键词 | DEMAND-SIDE SOLUTIONS ; COST-EFFECTIVENESS ; CLIMATE ; TECHNOLOGY ; IMPACTS ; ART ; US |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36528 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Rocky Mt Inst, 22830 Two Rivers Rd, Basalt, CO 81621 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lovins, Amory B.. How big is the energy efficiency resource?[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,13(9). |
APA | Lovins, Amory B..(2018).How big is the energy efficiency resource?.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(9). |
MLA | Lovins, Amory B.."How big is the energy efficiency resource?".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.9(2018). |
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