GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/aa869e
Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models
Dunning, Caroline M.1; Allan, Richard P.1,2,3; Black, Emily1,2
2017-11-01
发表期刊ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN1748-9326
出版年2017
卷号12期号:11
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England
英文摘要

An objective technique for analysing seasonality, in terms of regime, progression and timing of the wet seasons, is applied in the evaluation of CMIP5 simulations across continental Africa. Atmosphere-only and coupled integrations capture the gross observed patterns of seasonal progression and give mean onset/cessation dates within 18 days of the observational dates for 11 of the 13 regions considered. Accurate representation of seasonality over central-southern Africa andWest Africa (excluding the southern coastline) adds credence for future projected changes in seasonality here. However, coupled simulations exhibit timing biases over the Horn of Africa, with the long rains 20 days late on average. Although both sets of simulations detect biannual rainfall seasonal cycles for East and Central Africa, coupled simulations fail to capture the biannual regime over the southernWest African coastline. This is linked with errors in the Gulf of Guinea sea surface temperature (SST) and deficient representation of the SST/rainfall relationship.


英文关键词Africa precipitation seasonality CMIP5 Little Dry Season (LDS) model evaluation AMIP
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000424392400001
WOS关键词WEST-AFRICAN MONSOON ; SOUTHERN AFRICA ; ATLANTIC-OCEAN ; PROJECTED CHANGES ; EAST-AFRICA ; PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY ; TEMPERATURE ; ONSET ; NIGERIA
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36508
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England;
2.Univ Reading, NCAS Climate, Reading, Berks, England;
3.Univ Reading, NCEO, Reading, Berks, England
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Dunning, Caroline M.,Allan, Richard P.,Black, Emily. Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2017,12(11).
APA Dunning, Caroline M.,Allan, Richard P.,&Black, Emily.(2017).Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,12(11).
MLA Dunning, Caroline M.,et al."Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 12.11(2017).
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