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DOI | 10.1007/s00382-017-3971-8 |
Simulations of three natural decadal climate variability phenomena in CMIP5 experiments with the UKMO HadCM3, GFDL-CM2.1, NCAR-CCSM4, and MIROC5 global earth system models | |
Mehta, Vikram M.1; Wang, Hui2; Mendoza, Katherin1 | |
2018-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS |
ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 51期号:4页码:1559-1584 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The ability of four Earth System Models (ESMs) to simulate major attributes of sea-surface temperature (SST) manifestations of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), the tropical Atlantic SST gradient (TAG) variability, and the West Pacific Warm Pool (WPWP) SST variability was assessed. Data from simulation experiments conducted under the CMIP5 with the CM2.1, HadCM3, MIROC5, and CCSM4 ESMs from 1861 to 2005 were used. A Multi-Model Ensemble was also formed by combining data from the four ESMs. Aerosol optical depths and solar radiation were specified in these experiments. The simulation of PDO spatial pattern, annual cycle, and preferred timescales is the closest to observed attributes in these ESMs. The simulated and observed TAG SST patterns are generally similar, but their average annual cycles are very different and simulated TAG variability does not have a preferred decadal timescale unlike observed variability. No one of the ESMs is able to simulate the WPWP SST pattern. Simulated and observed average annual cycles of the WPWP SST are similar, and the dominant timescale of WPWP variability is close to 8 years in all ESMs and observations. Simulation skills of the three phenomena fluctuate from decade to decade in all ESMs. Major volcanic eruptions substantially influence observed and simulated indices and simulation skills of the three phenomena. The mixing of net surface heat flux anomalies to 200 m depth in the tropical and mid-latitude Pacific, and the WPWP region causes a delayed and multiyear response of the PDO and WPWP indices to volcanic eruptions. |
英文关键词 | Decadal climate variability Pacific decadal oscillation West Pacific warm pool Volcanic eruption |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000439440200017 |
WOS关键词 | SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; TROPICAL ATLANTIC-OCEAN ; MISSOURI RIVER-BASIN ; PACIFIC WARM POOL ; NORTH PACIFIC ; INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY ; ATMOSPHERE SYSTEM ; SEASONAL RAINFALL ; UNITED-STATES ; ENSO |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36433 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Ctr Res Changing Earth Syst, 5523 Res Pk Dr,Suite 205, Catonsville, MD 21228 USA; 2.NOAA, Climate Predict Ctr, College Pk, MD USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mehta, Vikram M.,Wang, Hui,Mendoza, Katherin. Simulations of three natural decadal climate variability phenomena in CMIP5 experiments with the UKMO HadCM3, GFDL-CM2.1, NCAR-CCSM4, and MIROC5 global earth system models[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2018,51(4):1559-1584. |
APA | Mehta, Vikram M.,Wang, Hui,&Mendoza, Katherin.(2018).Simulations of three natural decadal climate variability phenomena in CMIP5 experiments with the UKMO HadCM3, GFDL-CM2.1, NCAR-CCSM4, and MIROC5 global earth system models.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,51(4),1559-1584. |
MLA | Mehta, Vikram M.,et al."Simulations of three natural decadal climate variability phenomena in CMIP5 experiments with the UKMO HadCM3, GFDL-CM2.1, NCAR-CCSM4, and MIROC5 global earth system models".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 51.4(2018):1559-1584. |
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