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DOI | 10.1007/s00382-017-3706-x |
Simulating the characteristics of tropical cyclones over the South West Indian Ocean using a Stretched-Grid Global Climate Model | |
Maoyi, Molulaqhooa L.1; Abiodun, Babatunde J.1; Prusa, Joseph M.2; Veitch, Jennifer J.3,4 | |
2018-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS |
ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 50页码:1581-1596 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | South Africa; USA |
英文摘要 | Tropical cyclones (TCs) are one of the most devastating natural phenomena. This study examines the capability of a global climate model with grid stretching (CAM-EULAG, hereafter CEU) in simulating the characteristics of TCs over the South West Indian Ocean (SWIO). In the study, CEU is applied with a variable increment global grid that has a fine horizontal grid resolution (0.5A degrees x 0.5A degrees) over the SWIO and coarser resolution (1A degrees x 1A degrees-2A degrees x 2.25A degrees) over the rest of the globe. The simulation is performed for the 11 years (1999-2010) and validated against the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) best track data, global precipitation climatology project (GPCP) satellite data, and ERA-Interim (ERAINT) reanalysis. CEU gives a realistic simulation of the SWIO climate and shows some skill in simulating the spatial distribution of TC genesis locations and tracks over the basin. However, there are some discrepancies between the observed and simulated climatic features over the Mozambique channel (MC). Over MC, CEU simulates a substantial cyclonic feature that produces a higher number of TC than observed. The dynamical structure and intensities of the CEU TCs compare well with observation, though the model struggles to produce TCs with a deep pressure centre as low as the observed. The reanalysis has the same problem. The model captures the monthly variation of TC occurrence well but struggles to reproduce the interannual variation. The results of this study have application in improving and adopting CEU for seasonal forecasting over the SWIO. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000426707100006 |
WOS关键词 | CIRCULATION ; TRACK ; INTENSITY ; FREQUENCY ; ENSEMBLE |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36337 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Cape Town, Dept Environm & Geog Sci, Climate Syst & Anal Grp, Cape Town, South Africa; 2.Teraflux Corp, Boca Raton, FL USA; 3.Univ Cape Town, Dept Oceanog, Cape Town, South Africa; 4.South African Environm Observat Network, Private Bag X2, ZA-8012 Cape Town, South Africa |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Maoyi, Molulaqhooa L.,Abiodun, Babatunde J.,Prusa, Joseph M.,et al. Simulating the characteristics of tropical cyclones over the South West Indian Ocean using a Stretched-Grid Global Climate Model[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2018,50:1581-1596. |
APA | Maoyi, Molulaqhooa L.,Abiodun, Babatunde J.,Prusa, Joseph M.,&Veitch, Jennifer J..(2018).Simulating the characteristics of tropical cyclones over the South West Indian Ocean using a Stretched-Grid Global Climate Model.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,50,1581-1596. |
MLA | Maoyi, Molulaqhooa L.,et al."Simulating the characteristics of tropical cyclones over the South West Indian Ocean using a Stretched-Grid Global Climate Model".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 50(2018):1581-1596. |
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