GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s00382-018-4096-4
Projected changes in extreme precipitation over Scotland and Northern England using a high-resolution regional climate model
Chan, Steven C.1; Kahana, Ron2; Kendon, Elizabeth J.2; Fowler, Hayley J.1
2018-11-01
发表期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2018
卷号51页码:3559-3577
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England
英文摘要

The UK Met Office has previously conducted convection-permitting climate simulations over the southern UK (Kendon et al. in Nat Clim Change 4:570-576, 2014). The southern UK simulations have been followed up by a new set of northern UK simulations using the same model configuration. Here we present the mean and extreme precipitation projections from these new simulations. Relative to the southern UK, the northern UK projections show a greater summertime increase of return levels and extreme precipitation intensity in both 1.5 km convection-permitting and 12 km convection-parameterised simulations, but this increase is against a backdrop of large decreases in summertime mean precipitation and precipitation frequency. Similar to the southern UK, projected change is model resolution dependent and the convection-permitting simulation projects a larger intensification. For winter, return level increases are somewhat lower than for the southern UK. Analysis of model biases highlight challenges in simulating the diurnal cycle over high terrain, sensitivity to domain size and driving-GCM biases, and quality issues of radar precipitation observations, which are relevant to the wider regional climate modelling community.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000447366100022
WOS关键词SIMULATION ; CONVECTION ; DURATION ; SYSTEM ; SCALES
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36199
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Newcastle Univ, Sch Engn, Newcastle Upon Tyne, Tyne & Wear, England;
2.Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Chan, Steven C.,Kahana, Ron,Kendon, Elizabeth J.,et al. Projected changes in extreme precipitation over Scotland and Northern England using a high-resolution regional climate model[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2018,51:3559-3577.
APA Chan, Steven C.,Kahana, Ron,Kendon, Elizabeth J.,&Fowler, Hayley J..(2018).Projected changes in extreme precipitation over Scotland and Northern England using a high-resolution regional climate model.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,51,3559-3577.
MLA Chan, Steven C.,et al."Projected changes in extreme precipitation over Scotland and Northern England using a high-resolution regional climate model".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 51(2018):3559-3577.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
查看访问统计
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Chan, Steven C.]的文章
[Kahana, Ron]的文章
[Kendon, Elizabeth J.]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Chan, Steven C.]的文章
[Kahana, Ron]的文章
[Kendon, Elizabeth J.]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Chan, Steven C.]的文章
[Kahana, Ron]的文章
[Kendon, Elizabeth J.]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。