Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s00382-017-3642-9 |
Historical analysis of interannual rainfall variability and trends in southeastern Brazil based on observational and remotely sensed data | |
Vasquez, Isela L. P.1; Nascimento de Araujo, Ligia Maria1,2; Baldicero Molion, Luiz Carlos3; Abdalad, Mariana de Araujo4; Moreira, Daniel Medeiros1,5; Sanchez, Arturo4; Barbosa, Humberto Alves6; Rotunno Filho, Otto Correa1 | |
2018-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS
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ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 50页码:801-824 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Brazil |
英文摘要 | The Brazilian Southeast is considered a humid region. It is also prone to landslides and floods, a result of significant increases in rainfall during spring and summer caused by the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ). Recently, however, the region has faced a striking rainfall shortage, raising serious concerns regarding water availability. The present work endeavored to explain the meteorological drought that has led to hydrological imbalance and water scarcity in the region. Hodrick-Prescott smoothing and wavelet transform techniques were applied to long-term hydrologic and sea surface temperature (SST)-based climate indices monthly time series data in an attempt to detect cycles and trends that could help explain rainfall patterns and define a framework for improving the predictability of extreme events in the region. Historical observational hydrologic datasets available include monthly precipitation amounts gauged since 1888 and 1940 and stream flow measured since the 1930s. The spatial representativeness of rain gauges was tested against gridded rainfall satellite estimates from 2000 to 2015. The analyses revealed variability in four time scale domains-infra-annual, interannual, quasi-decadal and inter-decadal or multi-decadal. The strongest oscillations periods revealed were: for precipitation-8 months, 2, 8 and 32 years; for Pacific SST in the Nio-3.4 region-6 months, 2, 8 and 35.6 years, for North Atlantic SST variability-6 months, 2, 8 and 32 years and for Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) index-6.19 months, 2.04, 8.35 and 27.31 years. Other periodicities less prominent but still statistically significant were also highlighted. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000425328700005 |
WOS关键词 | ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION ; SOUTH-AMERICAN PRECIPITATION ; PACIFIC DECADAL OSCILLATION ; SCALE COMMON FEATURES ; TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS ; BAIU FRONTAL ZONE ; EL-NINO ; SURFACE-TEMPERATURE ; SUMMER MONSOON ; CLIMATE VARIABILITY |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36168 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro, Inst Alberto Luiz Coimbra Posgrad & Pesquisa Engn, Programa Engn Civil, Caixa Postal 68540, BR-21945970 Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil; 2.Agencia Nacl Aguas, Brasilia, DF, Brazil; 3.Univ Fed Alagoas, Inst Ciencias Atmosfer, Maceio, Brazil; 4.Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro, Inst Geociencias, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil; 5.Serv Geol Brasil, Companhia Pesquisa Recursos Minerais, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil; 6.Univ Fed Alagoas UFAL, Lab Proc Imagens Satelites LAPIS, Maceio, Brazil |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Vasquez, Isela L. P.,Nascimento de Araujo, Ligia Maria,Baldicero Molion, Luiz Carlos,et al. Historical analysis of interannual rainfall variability and trends in southeastern Brazil based on observational and remotely sensed data[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2018,50:801-824. |
APA | Vasquez, Isela L. P..,Nascimento de Araujo, Ligia Maria.,Baldicero Molion, Luiz Carlos.,Abdalad, Mariana de Araujo.,Moreira, Daniel Medeiros.,...&Rotunno Filho, Otto Correa.(2018).Historical analysis of interannual rainfall variability and trends in southeastern Brazil based on observational and remotely sensed data.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,50,801-824. |
MLA | Vasquez, Isela L. P.,et al."Historical analysis of interannual rainfall variability and trends in southeastern Brazil based on observational and remotely sensed data".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 50(2018):801-824. |
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