Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s00382-017-3656-3 |
Impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode on Landfalling North Atlantic tropical cyclones | |
Zhang, Wei1; Villarini, Gabriele1; Vecchi, Gabriel A.2,3; Murakami, Hiroyuki2,3 | |
2018-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS |
ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 50页码:991-1006 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | This study examines the impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode (PMM) on North Atlantic tropical cyclones (TCs) making landfall along the coastal US, Caribbean Islands and Mexico, and provides insights on the underlying physical mechanisms using observations and model simulations. There is a statistically significant time-lagged association between spring PMM and the August-October US and Caribbean landfalling TCs. Specifically, the positive (negative) spring PMM events tend to be followed by fewer (more) TCs affecting the coastal US (especially over the Gulf of Mexico and Florida) and the Caribbean Islands. This lagged association is mainly caused by the lagged impacts of PMM on the El Nio Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and the subsequent impacts of ENSO on TC frequency and landfalls. Positive (negative) PMM events are largely followed by El Nio (La Nia) events, which lead to less (more) TC geneses close to the US coast (i.e., the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea); this also leads to easterly (westerly) steering flow in the vicinity of the US and Caribbean coast, which is unfavorable (favorable) to TC landfall across the Gulf of Mexico, Florida and Caribbean Islands. Perturbation simulations with the state-of-the-art Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Forecast-oriented Low Ocean Resolution Version of CM2.5 (FLOR) support the linkage between PMM and TC landfall activity. The time-lagged impacts of spring PMM on TC landfalling activity results in a new predictor to forecast seasonal TC landfall activity along the US (especially over the Gulf of Mexico and Florida) and Caribbean coastal regions. |
英文关键词 | Landfall Tropical Cyclones Pacific Meridional Mode |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000425328700015 |
WOS关键词 | COUPLED CLIMATE MODEL ; EL-NINO ; UNITED-STATES ; SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION ; HURRICANE ACTIVITY ; EASTERN PACIFIC ; ENSO ; VARIABILITY ; TRACKS ; OCEAN |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/35775 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Iowa, IIHR Hydrosci & Engn, Iowa City, IA USA; 2.NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ USA; 3.Princeton Univ, Atmospher & Ocean Sci Program, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Wei,Villarini, Gabriele,Vecchi, Gabriel A.,et al. Impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode on Landfalling North Atlantic tropical cyclones[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2018,50:991-1006. |
APA | Zhang, Wei,Villarini, Gabriele,Vecchi, Gabriel A.,&Murakami, Hiroyuki.(2018).Impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode on Landfalling North Atlantic tropical cyclones.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,50,991-1006. |
MLA | Zhang, Wei,et al."Impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode on Landfalling North Atlantic tropical cyclones".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 50(2018):991-1006. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论