GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s00382-018-4102-x
Does shortwave absorption by methane influence its effectiveness?
Modak, Angshuman1; Bala, Govindasamy1; Caldeira, Ken2; Cao, Long3
2018-11-01
发表期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2018
卷号51页码:3653-3672
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家India; USA; Peoples R China
英文摘要

In this study, using idealized step-forcing simulations, we examine the effective radiative forcing of CH4 relative to that of CO2 and compare the effects of CH4 and CO2 forcing on the climate system. A tenfold increase in CH4 concentration in the NCAR CAM5 climate model produces similar long term global mean surface warming (similar to 1.7 K) as a one-third increase in CO2 concentration. However, the radiative forcing estimated for CO2 using the prescribed-SST method is similar to 81% that of CH4, indicating that the efficacy of CH4 forcing is similar to 0.81. This estimate is nearly unchanged when the CO2 physiological effect is included in our simulations. Further, for the same long-term global mean surface warming, we simulate a smaller precipitation increase in the CH4 case compared to the CO2 case. This is because of the fast adjustment processesprecipitation reduction in the CH4 case is larger than that of the CO2 case. This is associated with a relatively more stable atmosphere and larger atmospheric radiative forcing in the CH4 case which occurs because of near-infrared absorption by CH4 in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. Within a month after an increase in CH4, this shortwave heating results in a temperature increase of similar to 0.8 K in the lower stratosphere and upper troposphere. In contrast, within a month after a CO2 increase, longwave cooling results in a temperature decrease of similar to 3 K in the stratosphere and a small change in the upper troposphere. These fast adjustments in the lower stratospheric and upper tropospheric temperature, along with the adjustments in clouds in the troposphere, influence the effective radiative forcing and the fast precipitation response. These differences in fast climate adjustments also produce differences in the climate states from which the slow response begins to evolve and hence they are likely associated with differing feedbacks. We also find that the tropics and subtropics are relatively warmer in the CH4 case for the same global mean surface warming because of a larger longwave clear-sky and shortwave cloud forcing over these regions in the CH4 case. Further investigation using a multi-model intercomparison framework would permit an assessment of the robustness of our results.


英文关键词Methane Radiative forcing Efficacy Climate feedback Fast cloud adjustments Hydrological cycle
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000447366100027
WOS关键词CLIMATE SENSITIVITY ; CO2 ; DEPENDENCE ; RESPONSES ; GASES
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/35653
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Indian Inst Sci, Ctr Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Bangalore 560012, Karnataka, India;
2.Carnegie Inst Sci, Dept Global Ecol, Stanford, CA 94305 USA;
3.Zhejiang Univ, Sch Earth Sci, Hangzhou 310027, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
Modak, Angshuman,Bala, Govindasamy,Caldeira, Ken,et al. Does shortwave absorption by methane influence its effectiveness?[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2018,51:3653-3672.
APA Modak, Angshuman,Bala, Govindasamy,Caldeira, Ken,&Cao, Long.(2018).Does shortwave absorption by methane influence its effectiveness?.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,51,3653-3672.
MLA Modak, Angshuman,et al."Does shortwave absorption by methane influence its effectiveness?".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 51(2018):3653-3672.
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