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DOI | 10.5194/acp-22-7893-2022 |
The Sun's role in decadal climate predictability in the North Atlantic | |
Annika Drews, Wenjuan Huo, Katja Matthes, Kunihiko Kodera, and Tim Kruschke | |
2022-06-17 | |
发表期刊 | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |
出版年 | 2022 |
英文摘要 | Despite several studies on decadal-scale solar influence on climate, a systematic analysis of the Sun's contribution to decadal surface climate predictability is still missing. Here, we disentangle the solar-cycle-induced climate response from internal variability and from other external forcings such as greenhouse gases. We utilize two 10-member ensemble simulations with a state-of-the-art chemistry–climate model, to date a unique dataset in chemistry–climate modeling. Using these model simulations, we quantify the potential predictability related to the solar cycle and demonstrate that the detectability of the solar influence on surface climate depends on the magnitude of the solar cycle. Further, we show that a strong solar cycle forcing organizes and synchronizes the decadal-scale component of the North Atlantic Oscillation, the dominant mode of climate variability in the North Atlantic region. |
领域 | 地球科学 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/351708 |
专题 | 地球科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Annika Drews, Wenjuan Huo, Katja Matthes, Kunihiko Kodera, and Tim Kruschke. The Sun's role in decadal climate predictability in the North Atlantic[J]. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics,2022. |
APA | Annika Drews, Wenjuan Huo, Katja Matthes, Kunihiko Kodera, and Tim Kruschke.(2022).The Sun's role in decadal climate predictability in the North Atlantic.Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. |
MLA | Annika Drews, Wenjuan Huo, Katja Matthes, Kunihiko Kodera, and Tim Kruschke."The Sun's role in decadal climate predictability in the North Atlantic".Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (2022). |
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