Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
Is a Recession Coming? A Key Indicator Is Also the King of Mixed Messages | |
admin | |
2022-05-27 | |
发布年 | 2022 |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | 美国 |
领域 | 资源环境 |
正文(英文) | Will inflation—or efforts to tame it—lead to a recession in the United States? When such fears arise, people start paying a lot of attention to weekly unemployment-insurance claims, as an early indicator of layoffs that could augur a broader slump. They should be careful. Unemployment claims are a flawed gauge that may be particularly skewed by the pandemic. Unemployment benefits go only to those who meet certain criteria: They must be jobless through no fault of their own, have sufficient work history, and be willing and able to work. Over the past 70 years, the share of the unemployed who actually receive payments has decreased from about half to about a third, even as the share of job losers (as opposed to quitters) has increased.… The remainder of this commentary is available at bloomberg.com. Kathryn A. Edwards is an economist at the nonprofit, nonpartisan RAND Corporation. This commentary originally appeared on Bloomberg on May 27, 2022. Commentary gives RAND researchers a platform to convey insights based on their professional expertise and often on their peer-reviewed research and analysis. |
URL | 查看原文 |
来源平台 | RAND Corporation |
文献类型 | 新闻 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/350154 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | admin. Is a Recession Coming? A Key Indicator Is Also the King of Mixed Messages. 2022. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
个性服务 |
推荐该条目 |
保存到收藏夹 |
查看访问统计 |
导出为Endnote文件 |
谷歌学术 |
谷歌学术中相似的文章 |
[admin]的文章 |
百度学术 |
百度学术中相似的文章 |
[admin]的文章 |
必应学术 |
必应学术中相似的文章 |
[admin]的文章 |
相关权益政策 |
暂无数据 |
收藏/分享 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论