Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41561-018-0161-1 |
Structural decline in China's CO2 emissions through transitions in industry and energy systems | |
Guan, Dabo1,2; Meng, Jing2,3; Reiner, David M.4; Zhang, Ning5; Shan, Yuli2; Mi, Zhifu6; Shao, Shuai7; Liu, Zhu1,8; Zhang, Qiang1; Davis, Steven J.9,10 | |
2018-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE GEOSCIENCE |
ISSN | 1752-0894 |
EISSN | 1752-0908 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 11期号:8页码:551-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China; England; USA |
英文摘要 | As part of the Paris Agreement, China pledged to peak its CO2 emissions by 2030. In retrospect, the commitment may have been fulfilled as it was being made-China's emissions peaked in 2013 at a level of 9.53 gigatons of CO2, and have declined in each year from 2014 to 2016. However, the prospect of maintaining the continuance of these reductions depends on the relative contributions of different changes in China. Here, we quantitatively evaluate the drivers of the peak and decline of China's CO2 emissions between 2007 and 2016 using the latest available energy, economic and industry data. We find that slowing economic growth in China has made it easier to reduce emissions. Nevertheless, the decline is largely associated with changes in industrial structure and a decline in the share of coal used for energy. Decreasing energy intensity (energy per unit gross domestic product) and emissions intensity (emissions per unit energy) also contributed to the decline. Based on an econometric (cumulative sum) test, we confirm that there is a clear structural break in China's emission pattern around 2015. We conclude that the decline of Chinese emissions is structural and is likely to be sustained if the nascent industrial and energy system transitions continue. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000440301400005 |
WOS关键词 | GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS ; CONSUMPTION ; INDICATORS |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/34792 |
专题 | 地球科学 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Univ East Anglia, Sch Int Dev, Water Secur Res Ctr, Norwich, Norfolk, England; 3.Univ Cambridge, Dept Polit & Int Studies, Cambridge, England; 4.Univ Cambridge, Judge Business Sch, Cambridge, England; 5.Jinan Univ, Coll Econ, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China; 6.UCL, Bartlett Sch Construct & Project Management, London, England; 7.Shanghai Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Urban & Reg Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China; 8.Univ East Anglia, Sch Int Dev, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Norwich, Norfolk, England; 9.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA USA; 10.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Irvine, CA USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guan, Dabo,Meng, Jing,Reiner, David M.,et al. Structural decline in China's CO2 emissions through transitions in industry and energy systems[J]. NATURE GEOSCIENCE,2018,11(8):551-+. |
APA | Guan, Dabo.,Meng, Jing.,Reiner, David M..,Zhang, Ning.,Shan, Yuli.,...&Davis, Steven J..(2018).Structural decline in China's CO2 emissions through transitions in industry and energy systems.NATURE GEOSCIENCE,11(8),551-+. |
MLA | Guan, Dabo,et al."Structural decline in China's CO2 emissions through transitions in industry and energy systems".NATURE GEOSCIENCE 11.8(2018):551-+. |
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