GSTDTAP  > 资源环境科学
DOI10.1289/EHP9943
Ambient Temperature and External Causes of Death in Japan from 1979 to 2015: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Analysis
Rui Pan; Yasushi Honda; Emiko Minakuchi; Satbyul Estella Kim; Masahiro Hashizume; Yoonhee Kim
2022-04-08
发表期刊Environmental Health Perspectives
出版年2022
英文摘要

Abstract

Background:

Although substantial evidence suggests that high and low temperatures are adversely associated with nonaccidental mortality, few studies have focused on exploring the risks of temperature on external causes of death.

Objectives:

We investigated the short-term associations between temperature and external causes of death and four specific categories (suicide, transport, falls, and drowning) in 47 prefectures of Japan from 1979 to 2015.

Methods:

We conducted a two-stage meta-regression analysis. First, we performed time-stratified case-crossover analyses with a distributed lag nonlinear model to examine the association between temperature and mortality due to external causes for each prefecture. We then used a multivariate meta-regression model to combine the association estimates across all prefectures in Japan. In addition, we performed stratified analyses for the associations by sex and age.

Results:

A total of 2,416,707 external causes of death were included in the study. We found a J-shaped exposure–response curve for all external causes of death, in which the risks increased for mild cold temperatures [20th percentile; relative risk (RR)=1.09 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05,1.12)] and extreme heat [99th percentile; RR=1.24 (95% CI: 1.20, 1.29)] compared with those for minimum mortality temperature (MMT). However, the shapes of the exposure–response curves varied according to four subcategories. The risks of suicide and transport monotonically increased as temperature increased, with RRs of 1.35 (95% CI: 1.26, 1.45) and 1.60 (95% CI: 1.35, 1.90), respectively, for heat, whereas J- and U-shaped curves were observed for falls and drowning, with RRs of 1.14 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.26) and 1.95 (95% CI: 1.70, 2.23) for heat and 1.13 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.26) and 2.33 (95% CI: 1.89, 2.88) for cold, respectively, compared with those for cause-specific MMTs. The sex- and age-specific associations varied considerably depending on the specific causes.

Discussion:

Both low and high temperatures may be important drivers of increased risk of external causes of death. We suggest that preventive measures against external causes of death should be considered in adaptation policies. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP9943

领域资源环境
URL查看原文
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/347890
专题资源环境科学
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Rui Pan,Yasushi Honda,Emiko Minakuchi,et al. Ambient Temperature and External Causes of Death in Japan from 1979 to 2015: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Analysis[J]. Environmental Health Perspectives,2022.
APA Rui Pan,Yasushi Honda,Emiko Minakuchi,Satbyul Estella Kim,Masahiro Hashizume,&Yoonhee Kim.(2022).Ambient Temperature and External Causes of Death in Japan from 1979 to 2015: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Analysis.Environmental Health Perspectives.
MLA Rui Pan,et al."Ambient Temperature and External Causes of Death in Japan from 1979 to 2015: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Analysis".Environmental Health Perspectives (2022).
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
查看访问统计
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Rui Pan]的文章
[Yasushi Honda]的文章
[Emiko Minakuchi]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Rui Pan]的文章
[Yasushi Honda]的文章
[Emiko Minakuchi]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Rui Pan]的文章
[Yasushi Honda]的文章
[Emiko Minakuchi]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。