Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41558-017-0005-9 |
Measuring progress from nationally determined contributions to mid-century strategies | |
Iyer, Gokul1; Ledna, Catherine1; Clarke, Leon1; Edmonds, James1; McJeon, Haewon1; Kyle, Page1; Williams, James H.2 | |
2017-12-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 7期号:12 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The Paris Agreement requires countries to articulate nearterm emissions reduction strategies through to 2025 or 2030 by communicating nationally determined contributions (NDCs), as well as encouraging the formulation of long-term low-emission development strategies (Article 4.19)(1). In response, many countries have either submitted or are preparing mid-century strategies(2). Most NDCs set high-level near-term goals-such as limits on emissions or emissions intensity(3)-which do not provide information about the extent to which they lay the foundations of technology, infrastructure and institutions for deeper reductions in the future, which is a key question for decision makers. Here, using a state-level model of the US embedded within a global integrated assessment model(4,5), we demonstrate that although the US NDC lieson a straight-line emissions pathway towards its mid-century strategy, the resulting energy system transitions involve non-linear transformations. The rates of capacity additions and capital investments in electricity generation beyond 2025 are more than three times the rates during the next decade. Our results demonstrate the need for global stocktaking exercises to evaluate the NDCs using metrics broader than emissions to better illuminate their effectiveness in addressing the Paris Agreement's long-term goals(6,7). |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000417014700012 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE MITIGATION ; 2 DEGREES-C ; PARIS AGREEMENT ; CARBON CAPTURE ; UNITED-STATES ; TECHNOLOGIES ; ENERGY ; TRANSPORTATION ; SCENARIOS ; EMISSIONS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/34652 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Joint Global Change Res Inst, College Pk, MD 20740 USA; 2.Univ San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94117 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Iyer, Gokul,Ledna, Catherine,Clarke, Leon,et al. Measuring progress from nationally determined contributions to mid-century strategies[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2017,7(12). |
APA | Iyer, Gokul.,Ledna, Catherine.,Clarke, Leon.,Edmonds, James.,McJeon, Haewon.,...&Williams, James H..(2017).Measuring progress from nationally determined contributions to mid-century strategies.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,7(12). |
MLA | Iyer, Gokul,et al."Measuring progress from nationally determined contributions to mid-century strategies".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 7.12(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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