Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41558-018-0260-4 |
Climatic and socioeconomic controls of future coastal flood risk in Europe | |
Vousdoukas, Michalis, I1,2; Mentaschi, Lorenzo1; Voukouvalas, Evangelos3; Bianchi, Alessandra4; Dottori, Francesco1; Feyen, Luc1 | |
2018-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 8期号:9页码:776-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Italy; Greece |
英文摘要 | Rising extreme sea levels (ESLs) and continued socioeconomic development in coastal zones will lead to increasing future flood risk along the European coastline. We present a comprehensive analysis of future coastal flood risk (CFR) for Europe that separates the impacts of global warming and socioeconomic development. In the absence of further investments in coastal adaptation, the present expected annual damage (EAD) of (sic)1.25 billion is projected to increase by two to three orders of magnitude by the end of the century, ranging between 93 and (sic) 961 billion. The current expected annual number of people exposed (EAPE) to coastal flooding of 102,000 is projected to reach 1.52-3.65 million by the end of the century. Climate change is the main driver of the future rise in coastal flood losses, with the importance of coastward migration, urbanization and rising asset values rapidly declining with time. To keep future coastal flood losses constant relative to the size of the economy, flood defence structures need to be installed or reinforced to withstand increases in ESLs that range from 0.5 to 2.5 m. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000443195300013 |
WOS关键词 | SEA-LEVEL RISE ; STORM SURGES ; RIVER FLOODS ; PROJECTIONS ; IMPACTS ; MODEL ; ADAPTATION ; DAMAGE ; VULNERABILITY ; FREQUENCY |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/34604 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Joint European Res Ctr JRC, European Commiss, Ispra, Italy; 2.Univ Aegean, Dept Marine Sci, Mitilene, Greece; 3.Engn Ingn Informat SpA, Rome, Italy; 4.Arcadia SIT, Vigevano, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Vousdoukas, Michalis, I,Mentaschi, Lorenzo,Voukouvalas, Evangelos,et al. Climatic and socioeconomic controls of future coastal flood risk in Europe[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2018,8(9):776-+. |
APA | Vousdoukas, Michalis, I,Mentaschi, Lorenzo,Voukouvalas, Evangelos,Bianchi, Alessandra,Dottori, Francesco,&Feyen, Luc.(2018).Climatic and socioeconomic controls of future coastal flood risk in Europe.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,8(9),776-+. |
MLA | Vousdoukas, Michalis, I,et al."Climatic and socioeconomic controls of future coastal flood risk in Europe".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 8.9(2018):776-+. |
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