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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-018-0173-2 |
Global economic response to river floods | |
Willner, Sven Norman1,2; Otto, Christian1,3; Levermann, Anders1,2,3 | |
2018-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 8期号:7页码:594-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany; USA |
英文摘要 | Increasing Earth's surface air temperature yields an intensification of its hydrological cycle(1). As a consequence, the risk of river floods will increase regionally within the next two decades due to the atmospheric warming caused by past anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions(2-4). The direct economic losses(5,6) caused by these floods can yield regionally heterogeneous losses and gains by propagation within the global trade and supply network(7). Here we show that, in the absence of large-scale structural adaptation, the total economic losses due to fluvial floods will increase in the next 20 years globally by 17% despite partial compensation through market adjustment within the global trade network. China will suffer the strongest direct losses, with an increase of 82%. The United States is mostly affected indirectly through its trade relations. By contrast to the United States, recent intensification of the trade relations with China leaves the European Union better prepared for the import of production losses in the future. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000440200100018 |
WOS关键词 | ACCLIMATE-A MODEL ; SUPPLY NETWORK ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; DAMAGE ; RISK ; FORMULATION ; WORLD |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/34536 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany; 2.Univ Potsdam, Inst Phys, Potsdam, Germany; 3.Columbia Univ, LDEO, Palisades, NY 10964 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Willner, Sven Norman,Otto, Christian,Levermann, Anders. Global economic response to river floods[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2018,8(7):594-+. |
APA | Willner, Sven Norman,Otto, Christian,&Levermann, Anders.(2018).Global economic response to river floods.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,8(7),594-+. |
MLA | Willner, Sven Norman,et al."Global economic response to river floods".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 8.7(2018):594-+. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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