Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41558-018-0305-8 |
The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 degrees C global warming | |
Pattyn, Frank1; Ritz, Catherine2; Hanna, Edward3,4; Asay-Davis, Xylar5,6; DeConto, Rob7; Durand, Gael2; Favier, Lionel1,2; Fettweis, Xavier8; Goelzer, Heiko1,9; Golledge, Nicholas R.10,11; Munneke, Peter Kuipers9; Lenaerts, Jan T. M.12; Nowicki, Sophie13; Payne, Antony J.14; Robinson, Alexander15; Seroussi, Helene16; Trusel, Luke D.17; van den Broeke, Michiel9 | |
2018-12-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
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ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 8期号:12页码:1053-1061 |
文章类型 | Review |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Belgium; France; England; USA; Germany; Netherlands; New Zealand; Spain |
英文摘要 | Even if anthropogenic warming were constrained to less than 2 degrees C above pre-industrial, the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets will continue to lose mass this century, with rates similar to those observed over the past decade. However, nonlinear responses cannot be excluded, which may lead to larger rates of mass loss. Furthermore, large uncertainties in future projections still remain, pertaining to knowledge gaps in atmospheric (Greenland) and oceanic (Antarctica) forcing. On millennial timescales, both ice sheets have tipping points at or slightly above the 1.5-2.0 degrees C threshold; for Greenland, this may lead to irreversible mass loss due to the surface mass balance-elevation feedback, whereas for Antarctica, this could result in a collapse of major drainage basins due to ice-shelf weakening. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000451919500015 |
WOS关键词 | SURFACE MASS-BALANCE ; SEA-LEVEL RISE ; MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT ; THWAITES GLACIER ; WEST ANTARCTICA ; BASAL MELT ; CLIMATE ; ACCELERATION ; SENSITIVITY ; MELTWATER |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/34466 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Libre Bruxelles, Lab Glaciol, Brussels, Belgium; 2.Univ Grenoble Alpes, Inst Geosci Environm, CNRS, Grenoble, France; 3.Univ Lincoln, Sch Geog, Lincoln, England; 4.Univ Lincoln, Lincoln Ctr Water & Planetary Hlth, Lincoln, England; 5.Los Alamos Natl Lab, Los Alamos, NM USA; 6.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany; 7.Univ Massachusetts, Dept Geosci, Amherst, MA 01003 USA; 8.Univ Liege, Dept Geog, Liege, Belgium; 9.Univ Utrecht, Inst Marine & Atmospher Res, Utrecht, Netherlands; 10.Victoria Univ Wellington, Antarctic Res Ctr, Wellington, New Zealand; 11.GNS Sci, Lower Hutt, New Zealand; 12.Univ Colorado, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA; 13.NASA, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD USA; 14.Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol, Avon, England; 15.Univ Complutense Madrid, Fac Ciencias Fis, PalMA, Madrid, Spain; 16.CALTECH, Jet Prop Lab, Pasadena, CA 91125 USA; 17.Rowan Univ, Dept Geol, Glassboro, NJ USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pattyn, Frank,Ritz, Catherine,Hanna, Edward,et al. The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 degrees C global warming[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2018,8(12):1053-1061. |
APA | Pattyn, Frank.,Ritz, Catherine.,Hanna, Edward.,Asay-Davis, Xylar.,DeConto, Rob.,...&van den Broeke, Michiel.(2018).The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 degrees C global warming.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,8(12),1053-1061. |
MLA | Pattyn, Frank,et al."The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 degrees C global warming".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 8.12(2018):1053-1061. |
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