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DOI10.1038/s41558-018-0305-8
The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 degrees C global warming
Pattyn, Frank1; Ritz, Catherine2; Hanna, Edward3,4; Asay-Davis, Xylar5,6; DeConto, Rob7; Durand, Gael2; Favier, Lionel1,2; Fettweis, Xavier8; Goelzer, Heiko1,9; Golledge, Nicholas R.10,11; Munneke, Peter Kuipers9; Lenaerts, Jan T. M.12; Nowicki, Sophie13; Payne, Antony J.14; Robinson, Alexander15; Seroussi, Helene16; Trusel, Luke D.17; van den Broeke, Michiel9
2018-12-01
发表期刊NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN1758-678X
EISSN1758-6798
出版年2018
卷号8期号:12页码:1053-1061
文章类型Review
语种英语
国家Belgium; France; England; USA; Germany; Netherlands; New Zealand; Spain
英文摘要

Even if anthropogenic warming were constrained to less than 2 degrees C above pre-industrial, the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets will continue to lose mass this century, with rates similar to those observed over the past decade. However, nonlinear responses cannot be excluded, which may lead to larger rates of mass loss. Furthermore, large uncertainties in future projections still remain, pertaining to knowledge gaps in atmospheric (Greenland) and oceanic (Antarctica) forcing. On millennial timescales, both ice sheets have tipping points at or slightly above the 1.5-2.0 degrees C threshold; for Greenland, this may lead to irreversible mass loss due to the surface mass balance-elevation feedback, whereas for Antarctica, this could result in a collapse of major drainage basins due to ice-shelf weakening.


领域资源环境
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000451919500015
WOS关键词SURFACE MASS-BALANCE ; SEA-LEVEL RISE ; MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT ; THWAITES GLACIER ; WEST ANTARCTICA ; BASAL MELT ; CLIMATE ; ACCELERATION ; SENSITIVITY ; MELTWATER
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/34466
专题资源环境科学
作者单位1.Univ Libre Bruxelles, Lab Glaciol, Brussels, Belgium;
2.Univ Grenoble Alpes, Inst Geosci Environm, CNRS, Grenoble, France;
3.Univ Lincoln, Sch Geog, Lincoln, England;
4.Univ Lincoln, Lincoln Ctr Water & Planetary Hlth, Lincoln, England;
5.Los Alamos Natl Lab, Los Alamos, NM USA;
6.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany;
7.Univ Massachusetts, Dept Geosci, Amherst, MA 01003 USA;
8.Univ Liege, Dept Geog, Liege, Belgium;
9.Univ Utrecht, Inst Marine & Atmospher Res, Utrecht, Netherlands;
10.Victoria Univ Wellington, Antarctic Res Ctr, Wellington, New Zealand;
11.GNS Sci, Lower Hutt, New Zealand;
12.Univ Colorado, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA;
13.NASA, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD USA;
14.Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol, Avon, England;
15.Univ Complutense Madrid, Fac Ciencias Fis, PalMA, Madrid, Spain;
16.CALTECH, Jet Prop Lab, Pasadena, CA 91125 USA;
17.Rowan Univ, Dept Geol, Glassboro, NJ USA
推荐引用方式
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Pattyn, Frank,Ritz, Catherine,Hanna, Edward,et al. The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 degrees C global warming[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2018,8(12):1053-1061.
APA Pattyn, Frank.,Ritz, Catherine.,Hanna, Edward.,Asay-Davis, Xylar.,DeConto, Rob.,...&van den Broeke, Michiel.(2018).The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 degrees C global warming.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,8(12),1053-1061.
MLA Pattyn, Frank,et al."The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 degrees C global warming".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 8.12(2018):1053-1061.
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