Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/NCLIMATE3338 |
Balancing Europe's wind-power output through spatial deployment informed by weather regimes | |
Grams, Christian M.1; Beerli, Remo1; Pfenninger, Stefan2; Staffell, Iain3; Wernli, Heini1 | |
2017-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
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ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 7期号:8 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Switzerland; England |
英文摘要 | As wind and solar power provide a growing share of Europe's electricity(1), understandingandaccommodatingtheir variability on multiple timescales remains a critical problem. On weekly timescales, variability is related to long-lasting weather conditions, called weather regimes(2-5), which can cause lulls with a loss of wind power across neighbouring countries(6). Here we show that weather regimes provide a meteorological explanation for multi-day fluctuations in Europe's wind power and can help guide new deployment pathways that minimize this variability. Mean generation during different regimes currently ranges from 22GW to 44GW and is expected to triple by 2030 with current planning strategies. However, balancing future wind capacity across regions with contrasting inter-regime behaviour-specifically deploying in the Balkans instead of the North Sea-would almost eliminate these output variations, maintain mean generation, and increase fleet-wide minimum output. Solar photovoltaics could balance low-wind regimes locally, but only by expanding current capacity tenfold. New deployment strategies based on an understanding of continent-scale wind patterns and pan-European collaboration could enable a high share of wind energy whilst minimizing the negative impacts of output variability. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000406742500014 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; NORTH-ATLANTIC ; REANALYSIS ; SOLAR ; COST ; ENERGY |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/34236 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.ETH, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland; 2.ETH, Inst Environm Decis, Climate Policy Grp, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland; 3.Imperial Coll London, Ctr Environm Policy, London SW7 1NA, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Grams, Christian M.,Beerli, Remo,Pfenninger, Stefan,et al. Balancing Europe's wind-power output through spatial deployment informed by weather regimes[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2017,7(8). |
APA | Grams, Christian M.,Beerli, Remo,Pfenninger, Stefan,Staffell, Iain,&Wernli, Heini.(2017).Balancing Europe's wind-power output through spatial deployment informed by weather regimes.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,7(8). |
MLA | Grams, Christian M.,et al."Balancing Europe's wind-power output through spatial deployment informed by weather regimes".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 7.8(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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