Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2021GL095085 |
How will baseflow respond to climate change in the Upper Colorado River Basin? | |
Olivia L. Miller; Matthew P. Miller; Patrick C. Longley; Jay R. Alder; Lindsay A. Bearup; Tom Pruitt; Daniel K. Jones; Annie L. Putman; Christine A. Rumsey; Tim McKinney | |
2021-10-25 | |
发表期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters
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出版年 | 2021 |
英文摘要 | Baseflow is critical to sustaining streamflow in the Upper Colorado River Basin. Therefore, effective water resources management requires estimates of baseflow response to climatic changes. This study provides the first estimates of projected baseflow changes from historical (1984 – 2012) to thirty-year periods centered around 2030, 2050, and 2080 under warm/wet, median, and hot/dry climatic conditions using a hybrid statistical-deterministic baseflow model. Total baseflow supplied to the Lower Colorado River Basin may decline by up to 33%, although this value may increase in the near future by 6% under warm/wet conditions. The percentage of baseflow lost during in-stream transport is projected to increase by 1 - 5% relative to historical conditions. Results highlight that climate driven changes in high elevation hydrology have impacts on basin-wide water availability. Study results have implications for human and ecological water availability in one of the most heavily managed watersheds in the world. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/341166 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Olivia L. Miller,Matthew P. Miller,Patrick C. Longley,et al. How will baseflow respond to climate change in the Upper Colorado River Basin?[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2021. |
APA | Olivia L. Miller.,Matthew P. Miller.,Patrick C. Longley.,Jay R. Alder.,Lindsay A. Bearup.,...&Tim McKinney.(2021).How will baseflow respond to climate change in the Upper Colorado River Basin?.Geophysical Research Letters. |
MLA | Olivia L. Miller,et al."How will baseflow respond to climate change in the Upper Colorado River Basin?".Geophysical Research Letters (2021). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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