Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/ele.13911 |
Process-explicit models reveal pathway to extinction for woolly mammoth using pattern-oriented validation | |
Damien A. Fordham; Stuart C. Brown; H. Reş; it Akç; akaya; Barry W. Brook; Sean Haythorne; Andrea Manica; Kevin T. Shoemaker; Jeremy J. Austin; Benjamin Blonder; Julia Pilowsky; Carsten Rahbek; David Nogues-Bravo | |
2021-11-05 | |
发表期刊 | Ecology Letters |
出版年 | 2021 |
英文摘要 | Pathways to extinction start long before the death of the last individual. However, causes of early stage population declines and the susceptibility of small residual populations to extirpation are typically studied in isolation. Using validated process-explicit models, we disentangle the ecological mechanisms and threats that were integral in the initial decline and later extinction of the woolly mammoth. We show that reconciling ancient DNA data on woolly mammoth population decline with fossil evidence of location and timing of extinction requires process-explicit models with specific demographic and niche constraints, and a constrained synergy of climatic change and human impacts. Validated models needed humans to hasten climate-driven population declines by many millennia, and to allow woolly mammoths to persist in mainland Arctic refugia until the mid-Holocene. Our results show that the role of humans in the extinction dynamics of woolly mammoth began well before the Holocene, exerting lasting effects on the spatial pattern and timing of its range-wide extinction. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/340917 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Damien A. Fordham,Stuart C. Brown,H. Reş,et al. Process-explicit models reveal pathway to extinction for woolly mammoth using pattern-oriented validation[J]. Ecology Letters,2021. |
APA | Damien A. Fordham.,Stuart C. Brown.,H. Reş.,it Akç.,akaya.,...&David Nogues-Bravo.(2021).Process-explicit models reveal pathway to extinction for woolly mammoth using pattern-oriented validation.Ecology Letters. |
MLA | Damien A. Fordham,et al."Process-explicit models reveal pathway to extinction for woolly mammoth using pattern-oriented validation".Ecology Letters (2021). |
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