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Labour Mobility with Vocational Skill: Australian Demand and Pacific Supply
admin
2021-10-14
发布年2021
语种英语
国家加拿大
领域地球科学
正文(英文)

How many immigrants with less than university education, for a given immigration quota, maximise economic output? The answer is simple—zero—in the canonical model of the labour market, where the marginal product of a university-educated immigrant is always higher. We build an alternative model, following Jones (2005), in which national production occurs through a set of Leontief production functions that shift over time with technological change. This model, more consistent with historical data from Australia, implies a positive output-maximising supply of vocationally-skilled immigration, which we estimate for likely scenarios through the year 2050. Australian demand for vocationally-skilled workers will substantially exceed native supply, especially of fundamental workers performing tasks that do not require college education but are difficult to automate or offshore. Historical patterns of growth and technological change imply a demand-supply gap of two million vocationally-skilled workers by 2050. Australia can maximise future output with expanded vocationally skilled labour mobility (settler or temporary), especially by focusing on labour supply from the Pacific Islands.

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来源平台Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum
文献类型新闻
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/339562
专题地球科学
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
admin. Labour Mobility with Vocational Skill: Australian Demand and Pacific Supply. 2021.
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