Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41558-017-0049-x |
Global-scale hydrological response to future glacier mass loss | |
Huss, Matthias1,2; Hock, Regine3,4 | |
2018-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 8期号:2页码:135-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Switzerland; USA; Sweden |
英文摘要 | Worldwide glacier retreat and associated future runoff changes raise major concerns over the sustainability of global water resources(1-4), but global-scale assessments of glacier decline and the resulting hydrological consequences are scarce(5,6). Here we compute global glacier runoff changes for 56 large-scale glacierized drainage basins to 2100 and analyse the glacial impact on streamflow. In roughly half of the investigated basins, the modelled annual glacier runoff continues to rise until a maximum ('peak water') is reached, beyond which runoff steadily declines. In the remaining basins, this tipping point has already been passed. Peak water occurs later in basins with larger glaciers and higher ice-cover fractions. Typically, future glacier runoff increases in early summer but decreases in late summer. Although most of the 56 basins have less than 2% ice coverage, by 2100 one-third of them might experience runoff decreases greater than 10% due to glacier mass loss in at least one month of the melt season, with the largest reductions in central Asia and the Andes. We conclude that, even in large-scale basins with minimal ice-cover fraction, the downstream hydrological effects of continued glacier wastage can be substantial, but the magnitudes vary greatly among basins and throughout the melt season. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000423842400015 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; WATER AVAILABILITY ; 20-1ST CENTURY ; CORDILLERA BLANCA ; RIVER FLOWS ; RUNOFF ; IMPACTS ; PROJECTIONS ; RESOURCES ; HIMALAYAN |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/33873 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Lab Hydraul Hydrol & Glaciol VAW, Zurich, Switzerland; 2.Univ Fribourg, Dept Geosci, Fribourg, Switzerland; 3.Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Geophys, Fairbanks, AK 99775 USA; 4.Uppsala Univ, Dept Earth Sci, Uppsala, Sweden |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Huss, Matthias,Hock, Regine. Global-scale hydrological response to future glacier mass loss[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2018,8(2):135-+. |
APA | Huss, Matthias,&Hock, Regine.(2018).Global-scale hydrological response to future glacier mass loss.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,8(2),135-+. |
MLA | Huss, Matthias,et al."Global-scale hydrological response to future glacier mass loss".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 8.2(2018):135-+. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
个性服务 |
推荐该条目 |
保存到收藏夹 |
查看访问统计 |
导出为Endnote文件 |
谷歌学术 |
谷歌学术中相似的文章 |
[Huss, Matthias]的文章 |
[Hock, Regine]的文章 |
百度学术 |
百度学术中相似的文章 |
[Huss, Matthias]的文章 |
[Hock, Regine]的文章 |
必应学术 |
必应学术中相似的文章 |
[Huss, Matthias]的文章 |
[Hock, Regine]的文章 |
相关权益政策 |
暂无数据 |
收藏/分享 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论