Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2020WR028393 |
Incorporating Uncertainty into Multiscale Parameter Regionalisation to Evaluate the Performance of Nationally Consistent Parameter Fields for a Hydrological Model | |
Rosanna A. Lane; Jim E. Freer; Gemma Coxon; Thorsten Wagener | |
2021-08-31 | |
发表期刊 | Water Resources Research |
出版年 | 2021 |
英文摘要 | Spatial parameter fields are required to model hydrological processes across diverse landscapes. Transfer functions are often used to relate parameters to spatial catchment attributes, introducing large uncertainties. Quantifying these uncertainties remains a key challenge for large scale modelling. This paper extends the multiscale parameter regionalisation (MPR) technique to consider parameter uncertainties. We evaluate this method of producing nationally consistent parameter fields, which maintain a constant relationship between model parameters and catchment attributes, across 437 catchments in Great Britain (GB). By sampling multiple transfer function parameters, we produce thousands of possible model parameter fields which are constrained within an uncertainty framework. This is compared to spatially homogeneous parameter sets constrained for individual catchments. The nationally consistent MPR parameter fields perform well (KGE* > 0.75) across 60% of catchments. Performance is similar or better than catchment-constrained parameters (KGE* drop < 0.1) across 82% of catchments. Advantages of our national parameter fields include (1) improved representation of flows within catchments, (2) more robust performance between calibration and evaluation periods and (3) spatial parameter fields reflecting hydrologically meaningful variation in catchment characteristics. By including uncertainties, we show that hydrographs produced using MPR have smaller uncertainty bounds which are better able to encompass flows. As the first application of MPR to both the DECIPHeR modelling framework and GB, we developed transfer functions and identified key catchment attributes to constrain model parameters, which are transferrable to other models alongside the addition of uncertainty. Methodologies presented here are informative for future regionalisation efforts in GB and elsewhere. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/337564 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rosanna A. Lane,Jim E. Freer,Gemma Coxon,et al. Incorporating Uncertainty into Multiscale Parameter Regionalisation to Evaluate the Performance of Nationally Consistent Parameter Fields for a Hydrological Model[J]. Water Resources Research,2021. |
APA | Rosanna A. Lane,Jim E. Freer,Gemma Coxon,&Thorsten Wagener.(2021).Incorporating Uncertainty into Multiscale Parameter Regionalisation to Evaluate the Performance of Nationally Consistent Parameter Fields for a Hydrological Model.Water Resources Research. |
MLA | Rosanna A. Lane,et al."Incorporating Uncertainty into Multiscale Parameter Regionalisation to Evaluate the Performance of Nationally Consistent Parameter Fields for a Hydrological Model".Water Resources Research (2021). |
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