Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/NCLIMATE3203 |
Macroclimatic change expected to transform coastal wetland ecosystems this century | |
Gabler, Christopher A.1,2; Osland, Michael J.3; Grace, James B.3; Stagg, Camille L.3; Day, Richard H.3; Hartley, Stephen B.3; Enwright, Nicholas M.3; From, Andrew S.3; McCoy, Meagan L.4; McLeod, Jennie L.5 | |
2017-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 7期号:2 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Coastal wetlands, existing at the interface between land and sea, are highly vulnerable to climate change(1-3). Macroclimate (for example, temperature and precipitation regimes) greatly influences coastal wetland ecosystem structure and function(4,5). However, research on climate change impacts in coastal wetlands has concentrated primarily on sea-level rise and largely ignored macroclimatic drivers, despite their power to transform plant community structure(6-12) and modify ecosystemgoodsandservices(5,13). Here, wemodelwetland plant community structure based on macroclimate using field data collected across broad temperature and precipitation gradients along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast. Our analyses quantify strongly nonlinear temperature thresholds regulating the potential for marsh-to-mangrove conversion. We also identify precipitation thresholds for dominance by various functional groups, including succulent plants and unvegetated mudflats. Macroclimate-driven shifts in foundation plant species abundance will have large effects on certain ecosystem goods and services(5,14-16). Based on current and projected climatic conditions, we project that transformative ecological changes are probable throughout the region this century, even under conservative climate scenarios. Coastal wetland ecosystems are functionally similar worldwide, so changes in this region are indicative of potential future changes in climatically similar regions globally. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000396348500017 |
WOS关键词 | SEA-LEVEL RISE ; CONTERMINOUS UNITED-STATES ; GULF-OF-MEXICO ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; MANGROVE EXPANSION ; SALT MARSHES ; AVICENNIA-GERMINANS ; VULNERABILITY ; TEMPERATURE ; TOLERANCE |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/33682 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Houston, Dept Biol & Biochem, Houston, TX 77204 USA; 2.Univ Texas Rio Grande Valley, Sch Earth Environm & Marine Sci, Brownsville, TX 78520 USA; 3.US Geol Survey, Wetland & Aquat Res Ctr, Lafayette, LA 70506 USA; 4.McCoy Consulting, Lafayette, LA 70506 USA; 5.McLeod Consulting, Lafayette, LA 70506 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gabler, Christopher A.,Osland, Michael J.,Grace, James B.,et al. Macroclimatic change expected to transform coastal wetland ecosystems this century[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2017,7(2). |
APA | Gabler, Christopher A..,Osland, Michael J..,Grace, James B..,Stagg, Camille L..,Day, Richard H..,...&McLeod, Jennie L..(2017).Macroclimatic change expected to transform coastal wetland ecosystems this century.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,7(2). |
MLA | Gabler, Christopher A.,et al."Macroclimatic change expected to transform coastal wetland ecosystems this century".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 7.2(2017). |
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