Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2021GL093810 |
Multiple metrics informed projections of future precipitation in China | |
Lei Wang; Yun Qian; L. Ruby Leung; Xiaodong Chen; Chandan Sarangi; Jian Lu; Fengfei Song; Yang Gao; Guangxing Lin; Yaocun Zhang | |
2021-08-29 | |
发表期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters |
出版年 | 2021 |
英文摘要 | Predicting how regional precipitation will respond to future warming is among the most challenging undertaking in climate change projection. Despite sustained efforts to improve modeling and understanding of precipitation, the overall uncertainty in projecting regional precipitation has not been reduced substantially. Here the potential for more robust precipitation projections is demonstrated through the use of discriminating metrics to subsample a multimodel ensemble. Using a two-dimensional metric of precipitation and its relationship with large-scale circulation indices in East Asia, 31 models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) are classified into three groups. Models in the top performing group projected statistically significant increasing trends in precipitation and the regional precipitation patterns are more similar to each other than to the patterns in the bottom performing group. In contrast, models in the bottom performing group projected diverse responses, with overall small drying or no significant trends in precipitation. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/336612 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lei Wang,Yun Qian,L. Ruby Leung,et al. Multiple metrics informed projections of future precipitation in China[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2021. |
APA | Lei Wang.,Yun Qian.,L. Ruby Leung.,Xiaodong Chen.,Chandan Sarangi.,...&Yaocun Zhang.(2021).Multiple metrics informed projections of future precipitation in China.Geophysical Research Letters. |
MLA | Lei Wang,et al."Multiple metrics informed projections of future precipitation in China".Geophysical Research Letters (2021). |
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