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DOI10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3
Future climate risk from compound events
Zscheischler, Jakob1; Westra, Seth2; van den Hurk, Bart J. J. M.3,4; Seneviratne, Sonia I.1; Ward, Philip J.4; Pitman, Andy5,6; AghaKouchak, Amir7; Bresch, David N.8,9; Leonard, Michael2; Wahl, Thomas10,11; Zhang, Xuebin12
2018-06-01
发表期刊NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN1758-678X
EISSN1758-6798
出版年2018
卷号8期号:6页码:469-477
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Switzerland; Australia; Netherlands; USA; Canada
英文摘要

Floods, wildfires, heatwaves and droughts often result from a combination of interacting physical processes across multiple spatial and temporal scales. The combination of processes (climate drivers and hazards) leading to a significant impact is referred to as a 'compound event'. Traditional risk assessment methods typically only consider one driver and/or hazard at a time, potentially leading to underestimation of risk, as the processes that cause extreme events often interact and are spatially and/or temporally dependent. Here we show how a better understanding of compound events may improve projections of potential high-impact events, and can provide a bridge between climate scientists, engineers, social scientists, impact modellers and decision-makers, who need to work closely together to understand these complex events.


领域资源环境
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000433904400016
WOS关键词HEAT-WAVE ; BIAS CORRECTION ; AIR-POLLUTION ; INCREASING RISK ; STORM-SURGE ; FLOOD RISK ; TEMPERATURE ; EXTREMES ; IMPACT ; PROJECTIONS
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/33507
专题资源环境科学
作者单位1.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Zurich, Switzerland;
2.Univ Adelaide, Sch Civil Environm & Min Engn, Adelaide, SA, Australia;
3.Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands;
4.Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies, Amsterdam, Netherlands;
5.Univ New South Wales, Australian Res Council Ctr Excellence Climate Ext, Sydney, NSW, Australia;
6.Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia;
7.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Irvine, CA USA;
8.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Environm Decis, Zurich, Switzerland;
9.MeteoSwiss, Fed Off Meteorol & Climatol, Zurich, Switzerland;
10.Univ Cent Florida, Dept Civil Environm & Construct Engn, Orlando, FL 32816 USA;
11.Univ Cent Florida, Natl Ctr Integrated Coastal Res, Orlando, FL 32816 USA;
12.Environm & Climate Change Canada, Div Climate Res, Toronto, ON, Canada
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zscheischler, Jakob,Westra, Seth,van den Hurk, Bart J. J. M.,et al. Future climate risk from compound events[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2018,8(6):469-477.
APA Zscheischler, Jakob.,Westra, Seth.,van den Hurk, Bart J. J. M..,Seneviratne, Sonia I..,Ward, Philip J..,...&Zhang, Xuebin.(2018).Future climate risk from compound events.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,8(6),469-477.
MLA Zscheischler, Jakob,et al."Future climate risk from compound events".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 8.6(2018):469-477.
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