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Winter viruses and COVID-19 could push NHS to breaking point, warns new report | |
admin | |
2021-07-15 | |
发布年 | 2021 |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | 英国 |
领域 | 资源环境 |
正文(英文) | COVID-19, influenza, and the respiratory virus Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV), could push the NHS to breaking point this winter, a new report says. The report from the Academy of Medical Sciences, draws on expertise from Imperial academics including Professors Azra Ghani, Wendy Barclay and Peter Openshaw, among leading researchers from other institutions and members of the public. The report, COVID-19: Preparing for the future, looking ahead to winter 2021/22 and beyond, aims to forecast the greatest risks to health this winter and was commissioned by the Government Chief Scientific Adviser, Sir Patrick Vallance. Risks include:
A winter surge of fluA surge of respiratory viruses, including flu and RSV, could be more likely because the UK population had limited exposure to these viruses last winter. Flu, RSV and other respiratory viruses that are likely to circulate at higher levels this winter share the same symptoms as COVID-19, so it is important to have tests to distinguish between them to provide best treatment. Between 15,000 and 60,000 people could die from influenza this winter according to new modelling for the report, though the planned widespread flu vaccination should help to reduce this risk. The report is calling for measures to make sure that everyone who is The pandemic has had a disproportionately negative impact on people from poorer or disadvantaged backgrounds, minority ethnic groups and deprived regions. The report urges that all efforts to address the pandemic and the UK’s recovery must look to stop and reverse the unequal impacts of COVID-19 on health and wellbeing. Summer peak of COVID-19Professor Azra Ghani said: “It is very difficult to predict the course of the pandemic this winter. We do not know how people will react to relaxing restrictions and the impact this will have on transmission, how long the COVID-19 vaccines will provide immunity for, or what new disease variants may emerge. "Furthermore, with a high level of virus circulating in the community there is a risk that the number of people living with long COVID could double. Our modelling of a reasonable worst-case scenario also shows we could be dealing with around twice the levels of influenza and RSV this autumn and winter, causing widespread ill health and even greater pressures on the NHS.” |
URL | 查看原文 |
来源平台 | Imperial College London |
文献类型 | 新闻 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/333590 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | admin. Winter viruses and COVID-19 could push NHS to breaking point, warns new report. 2021. |
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