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DOI10.1088/1748-9326/aa81de
Decadal climate variability and the spatial organization of deep hydrological drought
Barros, Ana P.; Hodes, Jared L.; Arulraj, Malarvizhi
2017-10-01
发表期刊ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN1748-9326
出版年2017
卷号12期号:10
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF), wavelet, and wavelet coherence analysis of baseflow time-series from 126 streamgauges (record-length > 50 years; small and mid-size watersheds) in the US South Atlantic (USSA) region reveal three principal modes of space-time variability: (1) a region-wide dominant mode tied to annual precipitation that exhibits non-stationary decadal variability after the mid 1990s concurrent with the warming of the AMO (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation); (2) two spatial modes, east and west of the Blue Ridge, exhibiting nonstationary seasonal to sub-decadal variability before and after 1990 attributed to complex nonlinear interactions between ENSO and AMO impacting precipitation and recharge; and (3) deep (decadal) and shallow (< 6 years) space-time modes of groundwater variability separating basins with high and low annual mean baseflow fraction (MBF) by physiographic region. The results explain the propagation of multiscale climate variability into the regional groundwater system through recharge modulated by topography, geomorphology, and geology to determine the spatial organization of baseflow variability at decadal (and longer) time-scales, that is, deep hydrologic drought. Further, these findings suggest potential for long-range predictability of hydrological drought in small and mid-size watersheds, where baseflow is a robust indicator of nonstationary yield capacity of the underlying groundwater basins. Predictive associations between climate mode indices and deep baseflow (e.g. persistent decreases of the decadal-scale components of baseflow during the cold phase of the AMO in the USSA) can be instrumental toward improving forecast lead-times and long-range mitigation of severe drought.


英文关键词large-scale groundwater baseflow and recession analysis climate and precipitation variability
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000412290400002
WOS关键词SOUTHEASTERN UNITED-STATES ; ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION ; SUMMER RAINFALL VARIABILITY ; NORTH-ATLANTIC ; SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ; DIURNAL CYCLE ; BASE-FLOW ; STREAMFLOW ; ENSO ; PRECIPITATION
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/33187
专题气候变化
作者单位Duke Univ, 2453 CIEMAS,Box 90287, Durham, NC 27708 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Barros, Ana P.,Hodes, Jared L.,Arulraj, Malarvizhi. Decadal climate variability and the spatial organization of deep hydrological drought[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2017,12(10).
APA Barros, Ana P.,Hodes, Jared L.,&Arulraj, Malarvizhi.(2017).Decadal climate variability and the spatial organization of deep hydrological drought.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,12(10).
MLA Barros, Ana P.,et al."Decadal climate variability and the spatial organization of deep hydrological drought".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 12.10(2017).
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