Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aad246 |
Climate-informed environmental inflows to revive a drying lake facing meteorological and anthropogenic droughts | |
Alborzi, Aneseh1; Mirchi, Ali2,3,4; Moftakhari, Hamed1; Mallakpour, Iman1; Alian, Sara4,5; Nazemi, Ali6; Hassanzadeh, Elmira7; Mazdiyasni, Omid1; Ashraf, Samaneh1; Madani, Kaveh8,9; Norouzi, Hamid10,11; Azarderakhsh, Marzi12; Mehran, Ali13; Sadegh, Mojtaba14; Castelletti, Andrea15; AghaKouchak, Amir1,16 | |
2018-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 13期号:8 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Canada; England; Sweden; Italy |
英文摘要 | The rapid shrinkage of Lake Urmia, one of the world's largest saline lakes located in northwestern Iran, is a tragic wake-up call to revisit the principles of water resources management based on the socio-economic and environmental dimensions of sustainable development. The overarching goal of this paper is to set a framework for deriving dynamic, climate-informed environmental inflows for drying lakes considering both meteorological/climatic and anthropogenic conditions. We report on the compounding effects of meteorological drought and unsustainable water resource management that contributed to Lake Urmia's contemporary environmental catastrophe. Using rich datasets of hydrologic attributes, water demands and withdrawals, as well as water management infrastructure (i.e. reservoir capacity and operating policies), we provide a quantitative assessment of the basin's water resources, demonstrating that Lake Urmia reached a tipping point in the early 2000s. The lake level failed to rebound to its designated ecological threshold (1274 m above sea level) during a relatively normal hydro-period immediately after the drought of record (1998-2002). The collapse was caused by a marked overshoot of the basin's hydrologic capacity due to growing anthropogenic drought in the face of extreme climatological stressors. We offer a dynamic environmental inflow plan for different climate conditions (dry, wet and near normal), combined with three representative water withdrawal scenarios. Assuming effective implementation of the proposed 40% reduction in the current water withdrawals, the required environmental inflows range from 2900 million cubic meters per year (mcm yr(-1)) during dry conditions to 5400 mcm yr(-1) during wet periods with the average being 4100 mcm yr(-1). Finally, for different environmental inflow scenarios, we estimate the expected recovery time for re-establishing the ecological level of Lake Urmia. |
英文关键词 | Lake Urmia anthropogenic drought climate variability and change sustainable water resources management restoration environmental inflow requirement |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000440077700003 |
WOS关键词 | WATER-RESOURCE MANAGEMENT ; EARTH SYSTEM MODELS ; URMIA LAKE ; ARAL SEA ; RIVER-BASIN ; IMPACTS ; ALLOCATION ; STRESS ; IRAN ; REPRESENTATION |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/33172 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Irvine, CA 92697 USA; 2.Univ Texas El Paso, Dept Civil Engn, El Paso, TX 79968 USA; 3.Univ Texas El Paso, Ctr Environm Resource Management, El Paso, TX 79968 USA; 4.Oklahoma State Univ, Dept Biosyst & Agr Engn, Stillwater, OK 74078 USA; 5.Univ Texas El Paso, Dept Geol Sci, El Paso, TX 79968 USA; 6.Concordia Univ, Dept Bldg Civil & Environm Engn, Montreal, PQ, Canada; 7.Polytech Montreal, Dept Civil Geol & Min Engn, Montreal, PQ, Canada; 8.Imperial Coll London, Ctr Environm Policy, London, England; 9.Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog, Stockholm, Sweden; 10.CUNY, New York City Coll Technol, Brooklyn, NY 11210 USA; 11.CUNY, Grad Ctr, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, New York, NY USA; 12.Fairleigh Dickinson Univ, Sch Comp Sci & Engn, Teaneck, NJ USA; 13.Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Geog, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USA; 14.Boise State Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Boise, ID 83725 USA; 15.Politecn Milan, Dept Elect Informat & Bioengn, Milan, Italy; 16.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA 92697 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Alborzi, Aneseh,Mirchi, Ali,Moftakhari, Hamed,et al. Climate-informed environmental inflows to revive a drying lake facing meteorological and anthropogenic droughts[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,13(8). |
APA | Alborzi, Aneseh.,Mirchi, Ali.,Moftakhari, Hamed.,Mallakpour, Iman.,Alian, Sara.,...&AghaKouchak, Amir.(2018).Climate-informed environmental inflows to revive a drying lake facing meteorological and anthropogenic droughts.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(8). |
MLA | Alborzi, Aneseh,et al."Climate-informed environmental inflows to revive a drying lake facing meteorological and anthropogenic droughts".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.8(2018). |
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