Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2021GL093215 |
How frequent are Antarctic sudden stratospheric warmings in present and future climate? | |
M. Jucker; T. Reichler; D. W. Waugh | |
2021-05-20 | |
发表期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters |
出版年 | 2021 |
英文摘要 | Southern Hemisphere (SH) Stratospheric Sudden Warmings (SSWs) result in smaller Antarctic ozone holes and are linked to extreme midlatitude weather on subseasonal to seasonal timescales. Therefore, it is of interest how often such events occur and whether we should expect more events in the future. Here, we use a pair of novel multi-millennial simulations with a stratosphere-resolving coupled ocean-atmosphere climate model to show that the frequency of SSWs, such as observed 2002 and 2019, is about one in 22 years for 1990 conditions. In addition, we show that we should expect the frequency of SSWs–and that of more moderate vortex weakening events–to strongly decrease by the end of this century. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/328725 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | M. Jucker,T. Reichler,D. W. Waugh. How frequent are Antarctic sudden stratospheric warmings in present and future climate?[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2021. |
APA | M. Jucker,T. Reichler,&D. W. Waugh.(2021).How frequent are Antarctic sudden stratospheric warmings in present and future climate?.Geophysical Research Letters. |
MLA | M. Jucker,et al."How frequent are Antarctic sudden stratospheric warmings in present and future climate?".Geophysical Research Letters (2021). |
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