Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41558-019-0397-9 |
Southern Hemisphere subtropical drying as a transient response to warming | |
Sniderman, J. M. Kale1; Brown, Josephine R.2; Woodhead, Jon D.1; King, Andrew D.1,3; Gillett, Nathan P.4; Tokarska, Katarzyna B.5,6; Lorbacher, Katja7; Hellstrom, John1; Drysdale, Russell N.8,9; Meinshausen, Malte1,6,10 | |
2019-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
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ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 9期号:3页码:232-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia; Canada; Scotland; France; Germany |
英文摘要 | Climate projections(1-3) and observations over recent decades(4,5) indicate that precipitation in subtropical latitudes declines in response to anthropogenic warming, with significant implications for food production and population sustainability. However, this conclusion is derived from emissions scenarios with rapidly increasing radiative forcing to the year 2100(1,2), which may represent very different conditions from both past and future 'equilibrium' warmer climates. Here, we examine multi-century future climate simulations and show that in the Southern Hemisphere subtropical drying ceases soon after global temperature stabilizes. Our results suggest that twenty-first century Southern Hemisphere subtropical drying is not a feature of warm climates per se, but is primarily a response to rapidly rising forcing and global temperatures, as tropical sea-surface temperatures rise more than southern subtropical sea-surface temperatures under transient warming. Subtropical drying may therefore be a temporary response to rapid warming: as greenhouse gas concentrations and global temperatures stabilize, Southern Hemisphere subtropical regions may experience positive precipitation trends. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000459579300020 |
WOS关键词 | CARBON-DIOXIDE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ANNULAR MODE ; ANTARCTIC OSCILLATION ; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE ; FUTURE CHANGES ; CIRCULATION ; IMPACT ; CMIP5 ; TEMPERATURE |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/32798 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Melbourne, Sch Earth Sci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 2.Bur Meteorol, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 3.Univ Melbourne, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 4.Univ Victoria, Environm & Climate Change Canada, Canadian Ctr Climate Modelling & Anal, Victoria, BC, Canada; 5.Univ Victoria, Sch Earth & Ocean Sci, Victoria, BC, Canada; 6.Univ Edinburgh, Sch Geosci, Edinburgh, Midlothian, Scotland; 7.Univ Melbourne, Australian German Climate & Energy Coll, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 8.Univ Melbourne, Sch Geog, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 9.Univ Savoie Mt Blanc, CNRS, UMR, Environm Dynam & Terr Montagne, Chambery, France; 10.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sniderman, J. M. Kale,Brown, Josephine R.,Woodhead, Jon D.,et al. Southern Hemisphere subtropical drying as a transient response to warming[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2019,9(3):232-+. |
APA | Sniderman, J. M. Kale.,Brown, Josephine R..,Woodhead, Jon D..,King, Andrew D..,Gillett, Nathan P..,...&Meinshausen, Malte.(2019).Southern Hemisphere subtropical drying as a transient response to warming.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,9(3),232-+. |
MLA | Sniderman, J. M. Kale,et al."Southern Hemisphere subtropical drying as a transient response to warming".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 9.3(2019):232-+. |
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