资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

The evolution of cloud drop size distribution due to the collision-coalescence process is generally described by a quasi-stochastic model that solves the stochastic collection equation in a deterministic way. In this study, an improved quasi-stochastic (IQS) model, which is derived by rigorously considering a finite model time step, is examined in the context of comparison with the normal quasi-stochastic (NQS) model. The IQS model allows a large collector drop to collide with a small collected drop more than one time in a model time step even if the collision probability is small. The number distribution of collector drops then follows the Poisson distribution with respect to the number of collisions. Using a box model that takes turbulence-induced collision enhancement into account, it is found that large drops in the IQS model tend to have larger sizes than those in the NQS model and that the IQS model accelerates large-drop formation by a few minutes compared to the NQS model. The effects of the IQS model depend on the model time step and the shape of initial drop size distribution. The IQS model is incorporated into a detailed bin microphysics scheme that is coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting model, and a single warm cloud is simulated under idealized environmental conditions. It is found that the onset of surface precipitation is accelerated in the IQS model.