Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.15651 |
Distinct interspecific and intraspecific vulnerability of coastal species to global change | |
Erica S. Nielsen; Romina Henriques; Maria Beger; Sophie von der Heyden | |
2021-05-14 | |
发表期刊 | Global Change Biology |
出版年 | 2021 |
英文摘要 | Characterising and predicting species responses to anthropogenic global change is one of the key challenges in contemporary ecology and conservation. The sensitivity of marine species to climate change is increasingly being described with forecasted species distributions, yet these rarely account for population level processes such as genomic variation and local adaptation. This study compares inter‐ and intraspecific patterns of biological composition to determine how vulnerability to climate change, and its environmental drivers, vary across species and populations. We compare species trajectories for three ecologically important southern African marine invertebrates at two time points in the future, both at the species level, with correlative species distribution models, and at the population level, with gradient forest models. Reported range shifts are species‐specific and include both predicted range gains and losses. Forecasted species responses to climate change are strongly influenced by changes in a suite of environmental variables, from sea surface salinity and sea surface temperature, to minimum air temperature. Our results further suggest a mismatch between future habitat suitability (where species can remain in their ecological niche) and genomic vulnerability (where populations retain their genomic composition), highlighting the inter‐ and intraspecific variability in species’ sensitivity to global change. Overall, this study demonstrates the importance of considering species and population level climatic vulnerability when proactively managing coastal marine ecosystems in the Anthropocene. |
领域 | 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/326725 |
专题 | 气候变化 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Erica S. Nielsen,Romina Henriques,Maria Beger,et al. Distinct interspecific and intraspecific vulnerability of coastal species to global change[J]. Global Change Biology,2021. |
APA | Erica S. Nielsen,Romina Henriques,Maria Beger,&Sophie von der Heyden.(2021).Distinct interspecific and intraspecific vulnerability of coastal species to global change.Global Change Biology. |
MLA | Erica S. Nielsen,et al."Distinct interspecific and intraspecific vulnerability of coastal species to global change".Global Change Biology (2021). |
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