资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

Observational features of the winter 2013/2014 are investigated using of the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis data. This winter can be characterized by the continuous predominance of planetary waves of zonal wave number two (WN2) that did not cause major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events. It is found that the vertical component of the Eliassen-Palm flux of WN2 for the winter 2013/2014 is almost equal to the highest value of the winter 2008/2009. The longitudinal distribution of vertical components of Plumb wave activity flux for this winter shows marked downward propagation around 100 degrees W and upward propagation around 60 degrees E, both of which are the strongest of their type among the 56 winters since 1958/1959. The convergence of wave packets propagating from around 60 degrees E contributes to the development and continuance of the quasi-barotropic Aleutian High, which is associated with the extension of negative extended refractive index (K-s) region. The extension of negative K-s region is related to the convergence or reflection of the wave packets emanating from tropospheric blocking highs developing in the North Pacific Ocean; the development and continuance of the quasi-barotropic Aleutian High is considered to be one of plausible reasons for the lack of major SSWs in the winter 2013/2014. In addition to these results, we revealed the significant contribution of smaller scale waves (with a zonal wave number of three or more) to the structure of localized wave packet propagation in the stratosphere.