Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aaf06c |
The role of biomass in China's long-term mitigation toward the Paris climate goals | |
Pan, Xunzhang1; Chen, Wenying2; Wang, Lining3; Lin, Lu1; Li, Nan2 | |
2018-12-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 13期号:12 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | Biomass is a crucial option of substituting fossil fuels to reduce emissions, and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) allows for obtaining net-negative emissions. Weexplore the role of biomass in China's long-term mitigation toward the Paris climate goals in light of three narratives and five mitigation scenarios, modeling by a refined Global Change Assessment Model. While presenting a limited contribution to achieving China's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), biomass plays an important role in China's post-NDC mitigation toward the Paris climate goals. All the assessed scenarios call for extensive biomass use, accounting for 6.5%-28% of China's 2100 primary energy in our three 2 degrees C scenarios and 15%-30% in our two 1.5 degrees C scenarios. The exact biomass deployment trajectories tend to depend greatly on how China envisages national mitigation paces and BECCS strategies. For either 2 degrees C or 1.5 degrees C, a smaller negative-emission narrative, which means a more rapid immediate decarbonization of the energy system toward mid-century, depends on larger bioenergy in medium-to-long-term. Delaying short-and medium-term ambition delays bioenergy applications but requires far more in the second half of the century to create greater negative emissions via BECCS. Moving from 2 degrees C toward 1.5 degrees C features higher and earlier bioenergy deployments and meaningfully increasing BECCS volumes and biofuel shares in China's energy system. Consequently, the Chinese stockholders might be ready to make a decision on to what degree biomass and BECCS enter the sphere of China's energy and climate policies, which will greatly influence not only national biomass roadmap but also mid-century mitigation targets. |
英文关键词 | biomass China' s mitigation Paris agreement BECCS climate change |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000453786900001 |
WOS关键词 | LAND-USE ; ENERGY ; CARBON ; EMISSIONS ; BIOENERGY ; SCENARIOS ; TRANSFORMATION ; PROJECTIONS ; BIOFUELS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/32105 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.China Univ Petr, Acad Chinese Energy Strategy, Beijing 102249, Peoples R China; 2.Tsinghua Univ, Inst Energy Environm & Econ, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China; 3.CNPC, Econ & Technol Res Inst, Beijing 100724, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pan, Xunzhang,Chen, Wenying,Wang, Lining,et al. The role of biomass in China's long-term mitigation toward the Paris climate goals[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,13(12). |
APA | Pan, Xunzhang,Chen, Wenying,Wang, Lining,Lin, Lu,&Li, Nan.(2018).The role of biomass in China's long-term mitigation toward the Paris climate goals.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(12). |
MLA | Pan, Xunzhang,et al."The role of biomass in China's long-term mitigation toward the Paris climate goals".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.12(2018). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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