Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aa954d |
Combined effects of climate and land-use change on the provision of ecosystem services in rice agro-ecosystems | |
Langerwisch, Fanny1,2; Vaclavik, Tomas3,4; von Bloh, Werner1; Vetter, Tobias5; Thonicke, Kirsten1,2 | |
2018 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 13期号:1 |
文章类型 | Letter |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany; Czech Republic |
英文摘要 | Irrigated rice croplands are among the world's most important agro-ecosystems. They provide food for more than 3.5 billion people and a range of other ecosystem services (ESS). However, the sustainability of rice agro-ecosystems is threatened by continuing climate and land-use changes. To estimate their combined effects on a bundle of ESS, we applied the vegetation and hydrology model LPJmL to seven study areas in the Philippines and Vietnam. We quantified future changes in the provision of four essential ESS (carbon storage, carbon sequestration, provision of irrigation water and rice production) under two climate scenarios (until 2100) and three site-specific land-use scenarios (until 2030), and examined the synergies and trade-offs in ESS responses to these drivers. Our results show that not all services can be provided in the same amounts in the future. In the Philippines and Vietnam the projections estimated a decrease in rice yields (by approximately 30%) and in carbon storage (by 15%) and sequestration (by 12%) towards the end of the century under the current land-use pattern. In contrast, the amount of available irrigation water was projected to increase in all scenarios by 10%-20%. However, the results also indicate that land-use change may partially offset the negative climate impacts in regions where cropland expansion is possible, although only at the expense of natural vegetation. When analysing the interactions between ESS, we found consistent synergies between rice production and carbon storage and trade-offs between carbon storage and provision of irrigation water under most scenarios. Our results show that not only the effects of climate and land-use change alone but also the interaction between ESS have to be considered to allow sustainable management of rice agro-ecosystems under global change. |
英文关键词 | vegetation modelling ecosystem services rice Southeast Asia land-use change climate change |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000418683600001 |
WOS关键词 | GLOBAL VEGETATION MODEL ; SOUTHEAST-ASIA ; AGRICULTURE ; CARBON ; YIELDS ; BIODIVERSITY ; CHALLENGES ; BALANCE |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/32084 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Earth Syst Anal, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany; 2.Berlin Brandenburg Inst Adv Biodivers Res BBIB, D-14195 Berlin, Germany; 3.UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Dept Computat Landscape Ecol, D-04318 Leipzig, Germany; 4.Palacky Univ, Dept Ecol & Environm Sci, Olomouc 78371, Czech Republic; 5.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res Climate Impacts &, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Langerwisch, Fanny,Vaclavik, Tomas,von Bloh, Werner,et al. Combined effects of climate and land-use change on the provision of ecosystem services in rice agro-ecosystems[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,13(1). |
APA | Langerwisch, Fanny,Vaclavik, Tomas,von Bloh, Werner,Vetter, Tobias,&Thonicke, Kirsten.(2018).Combined effects of climate and land-use change on the provision of ecosystem services in rice agro-ecosystems.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(1). |
MLA | Langerwisch, Fanny,et al."Combined effects of climate and land-use change on the provision of ecosystem services in rice agro-ecosystems".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.1(2018). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论