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DOI | 10.1111/ele.13108 |
Species persistence under climate change: a geographical scale coexistence problem | |
Usinowicz, Jacob; Levine, Jonathan M. | |
2018-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | ECOLOGY LETTERS
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ISSN | 1461-023X |
EISSN | 1461-0248 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 21期号:11页码:1589-1603 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Switzerland |
英文摘要 | Forecasting the impacts of climate change on biological diversity requires better ways to incorporate competitive interactions into predictions of species' range dynamics and persistence. This problem has been studied extensively in a different context by theoreticians evaluating the coexistence of species in spatially heterogeneous environments. Here, we show how spatial coexistence theory can be adapted to provide a mathematical framework for understanding species persistence in competitive communities under climate change. We first show how the spatial low-density growth rate provides the relevant metric of species persistence along a climate gradient. We then analyse a model of multiple migrating competitors to show how mechanisms contributing to low-density growth rates quantify the effect of different competitive processes on persistence, and how these processes change in strength with species' asynchronous migration under climate change. Finally, we outline the empirical utility of the framework, showing how the theory can scale up from local measurements of species performance and competitive interactions to range-scale metrics of persistence. Treating species' range dynamics as a geographical-scale coexistence problem presents its own set of challenges, but building from a well-established body of theory may greatly improve the predictability of species persistence in competitive communities under climate change. |
英文关键词 | Climate change low-density growth rate persistence range dynamics species coexistence |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000446659200001 |
WOS关键词 | RANGE SHIFTS ; BIOTIC INTERACTIONS ; PLANT-COMMUNITIES ; POPULATION-MODELS ; MOUNTAIN PLANTS ; EXTINCTION RISK ; SEED DISPERSAL ; HABITAT MODELS ; DYNAMICS ; DISTRIBUTIONS |
WOS类目 | Ecology |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/31224 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Integrat Biol, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Usinowicz, Jacob,Levine, Jonathan M.. Species persistence under climate change: a geographical scale coexistence problem[J]. ECOLOGY LETTERS,2018,21(11):1589-1603. |
APA | Usinowicz, Jacob,&Levine, Jonathan M..(2018).Species persistence under climate change: a geographical scale coexistence problem.ECOLOGY LETTERS,21(11),1589-1603. |
MLA | Usinowicz, Jacob,et al."Species persistence under climate change: a geographical scale coexistence problem".ECOLOGY LETTERS 21.11(2018):1589-1603. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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