Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/ele.13223 |
How do climate change experiments alter plot-scale climate? | |
Ettinger, A. K.1,2; Chuine, I.3; Cook, B. I.4,5; Dukes, J. S.6,7; Ellison, A. M.8; Johnston, M. R.9; Panetta, A. M.10; Rollinson, C. R.11; Vitasse, Y.12,13; Wolkovich, E. M.1,9,14 | |
2019-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | ECOLOGY LETTERS
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ISSN | 1461-023X |
EISSN | 1461-0248 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 22期号:4页码:748-763 |
文章类型 | Review |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; France; Switzerland; Canada |
英文摘要 | To understand and forecast biological responses to climate change, scientists frequently use field experiments that alter temperature and precipitation. Climate manipulations can manifest in complex ways, however, challenging interpretations of biological responses. We reviewed publications to compile a database of daily plot-scale climate data from 15 active-warming experiments. We find that the common practices of analysing treatments as mean or categorical changes (e.g. warmed vs. unwarmed) masks important variation in treatment effects over space and time. Our synthesis showed that measured mean warming, in plots with the same target warming within a study, differed by up to 1.6 circle C (63% of target), on average, across six studies with blocked designs. Variation was high across sites and designs: for example, plots differed by 1.1 circle C (47% of target) on average, for infrared studies with feedback control (n = 3) vs. by 2.2 circle C (80% of target) on average for infrared with constant wattage designs (n = 2). Warming treatments produce non-temperature effects as well, such as soil drying. The combination of these direct and indirect effects is complex and can have important biological consequences. With a case study of plant phenology across five experiments in our database, we show how accounting for drier soils with warming tripled the estimated sensitivity of budburst to temperature. We provide recommendations for future analyses, experimental design, and data sharing to improve our mechanistic understanding from climate change experiments, and thus their utility to accurately forecast species' responses. |
英文关键词 | active-warming budburst direct and indirect effects feedback global warming hidden treatment microclimate soil moisture spring phenology structural control target temperature warming experiment |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000460768100019 |
WOS关键词 | NO-ANALOG COMMUNITIES ; OPEN-TOP CHAMBERS ; TRACE GAS FLUXES ; ELEVATED CO2 ; TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS ; REPRODUCTIVE PHENOLOGY ; PLANT-RESPONSES ; GROWTH-RESPONSE ; INFRARED HEATER ; TEMPERATURE |
WOS类目 | Ecology |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/31126 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Arnold Arboretum Harvard Univ, Boston, MA 02131 USA; 2.Tufts Univ, Medford, MA 02155 USA; 3.Univ Paul Valery Montpellier, Univ Montpellier, CNRS, CEFE,UMR 5175,EPHE,IRD, Montpellier, France; 4.Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY 10964 USA; 5.NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY 10025 USA; 6.Purdue Univ, Dept Forestry & Nat Resources, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA; 7.Purdue Univ, Dept Biol Sci, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA; 8.Harvard Univ, Harvard Forest, Petersham, MA 01366 USA; 9.Harvard Univ, Dept Organism & Evolutionary Biol, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA; 10.Univ Colorado, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Boulder, CO 80309 USA; 11.Morton Arboretum, Ctr Tree Sci, Lisle, IL 60532 USA; 12.Swiss Fed Inst Forest Snow & Landscape Res WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland; 13.SwissForestLab, Birmensdorf, Switzerland; 14.Univ British Columbia, Forest & Conservat Sci, Fac Forestry, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ettinger, A. K.,Chuine, I.,Cook, B. I.,et al. How do climate change experiments alter plot-scale climate?[J]. ECOLOGY LETTERS,2019,22(4):748-763. |
APA | Ettinger, A. K..,Chuine, I..,Cook, B. I..,Dukes, J. S..,Ellison, A. M..,...&Wolkovich, E. M..(2019).How do climate change experiments alter plot-scale climate?.ECOLOGY LETTERS,22(4),748-763. |
MLA | Ettinger, A. K.,et al."How do climate change experiments alter plot-scale climate?".ECOLOGY LETTERS 22.4(2019):748-763. |
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