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Maldives Macroeconomic Forecasting: A Component-Driven Quarterly Bayesian Vector Autoregression Approach | |||||||||||||||||||
Anthony Baluga; Masato Nakane | |||||||||||||||||||
2020-12-29 | |||||||||||||||||||
出版年 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||
国家 | 国际 | ||||||||||||||||||
领域 | 气候变化 ; 资源环境 | ||||||||||||||||||
英文摘要 | Maldives Macroeconomic Forecasting: A Component-Driven Quarterly Bayesian Vector Autoregression ApproachPublication | December 2020
This study aims to build an efficient small-scale macroeconomic forecasting tool for Maldives using Bayesian vector autoregression estimations to circumvent the "curse of dimensionality" and constraints to analyzing and organizing data. Due to significant limitations in data availability, empirical economic modeling for Maldives can be problematic. In the paper, Bayesian vector autoregression estimations are utilized comprising of component-disaggregated domestic sectoral production, price, and tourism variables. Results demonstrate how this methodology is appropriate for economic modeling in Maldives, in particular for macroeconomic and tourism variables. Augmenting for qualitative assessments, the directional inclination of the forecasts is improved. Contents
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URL | 查看原文 | ||||||||||||||||||
来源平台 | Asian Development Bank | ||||||||||||||||||
文献类型 | 科技报告 | ||||||||||||||||||
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/310490 | ||||||||||||||||||
专题 | 气候变化 资源环境科学 | ||||||||||||||||||
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Anthony Baluga,Masato Nakane. Maldives Macroeconomic Forecasting: A Component-Driven Quarterly Bayesian Vector Autoregression Approach,2020. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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