GSTDTAP  > 地球科学
DOI10.5194/acp-18-2175-2018
Low modeled ozone production suggests underestimation of precursor emissions (especially NOx) in Europe
Oikonomakis, Emmanouil1; Aksoyoglu, Sebnem1; Ciarelli, Giancarlo2; Baltensperger, Urs1; Prevot, Andre Stephan Henry1
2018-02-14
发表期刊ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS
ISSN1680-7316
EISSN1680-7324
出版年2018
卷号18期号:3页码:2175-2198
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Switzerland; France
英文摘要

High surface ozone concentrations, which usually occur when photochemical ozone production takes place, pose a great risk to human health and vegetation. Air quality models are often used by policy makers as tools for the development of ozone mitigation strategies. However, the modeled ozone production is often not or not enough evaluated in many ozone modeling studies. The focus of this work is to evaluate the modeled ozone production in Europe indirectly, with the use of the ozone-temperature correlation for the summer of 2010 and to analyze its sensitivity to precursor emissions and meteorology by using the regional air quality model, the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions (CAMx). The results show that the model significantly underestimates the observed high afternoon surface ozone mixing ratios (>= 60 ppb) by 10-20 ppb and overestimates the lower ones (< 40 ppb) by 5-15 ppb, resulting in a misleading good agreement with the observations for average ozone. The model also underestimates the ozone-temperature regression slope by about a factor of 2 for most of the measurement stations. To investigate the impact of emissions, four scenarios were tested: (i) increased volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions by a factor of 1.5 and 2 for the anthropogenic and biogenic VOC emissions, respectively, (ii) increased nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions by a factor of 2, (iii) a combination of the first two scenarios and (iv) increased trafficonly NOx emissions by a factor of 4. For southern, eastern, and central (except the Benelux area) Europe, doubling NOx emissions seems to be the most efficient scenario to reduce the underestimation of the observed high ozone mixing ratios without significant degradation of the model perfor-mance for the lower ozone mixing ratios. The model performance for ozone-temperature correlation is also better when NOx emissions are doubled. In the Benelux area, however, the third scenario (where both NOx and VOC emissions are increased) leads to a better model performance. Although increasing only the traffic NOx emissions by a factor of 4 gave very similar results to the doubling of all NOx emissions, the first scenario is more consistent with the uncertainties reported by other studies than the latter, suggesting that high uncertainties in NOx emissions might originate mainly from the road-transport sector rather than from other sectors. The impact of meteorology was examined with three sensitivity tests: (i) increased surface temperature by 4 degrees C, (ii) reduced wind speed by 50% and (iii) doubled wind speed. The first two scenarios led to a consistent increase in all surface ozone mixing ratios, thus improving the model performance for the high ozone values but significantly degrading it for the low ozone values, while the third scenario had exactly the opposite effects. Overall, the modeled ozone is predicted to be more sensitive to its precursor emissions (especially traffic NOx) and therefore their uncertainties, which seem to be responsible for the model underestimation of the observed high ozone mixing ratios and ozone production.


领域地球科学
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000425160800005
WOS关键词VOLATILE ORGANIC-COMPOUNDS ; AIR-QUALITY MODELS ; PARTICULATE MATTER ; LOWER TROPOSPHERE ; NORTH-AMERICA ; HEAT-WAVE ; SENSITIVITY ; CHEMISTRY ; IMPACT ; CLIMATE
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30914
专题地球科学
作者单位1.Paul Scherrer Inst, Lab Atmospher Chem, Villigen, Switzerland;
2.Univ Paris Diderot, Univ Paris Est Creteil, CNRS, LISA,Inst Pierre Simon Laplace,UMR 7583, Creteil, France
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Oikonomakis, Emmanouil,Aksoyoglu, Sebnem,Ciarelli, Giancarlo,et al. Low modeled ozone production suggests underestimation of precursor emissions (especially NOx) in Europe[J]. ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS,2018,18(3):2175-2198.
APA Oikonomakis, Emmanouil,Aksoyoglu, Sebnem,Ciarelli, Giancarlo,Baltensperger, Urs,&Prevot, Andre Stephan Henry.(2018).Low modeled ozone production suggests underestimation of precursor emissions (especially NOx) in Europe.ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS,18(3),2175-2198.
MLA Oikonomakis, Emmanouil,et al."Low modeled ozone production suggests underestimation of precursor emissions (especially NOx) in Europe".ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS 18.3(2018):2175-2198.
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