Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2020GL090825 |
The seasonal and regional transition to an ice‐free Arctic | |
Marius Å; rthun; Ingrid H. Onarheim; Jakob Dö; rr; Tor Eldevik | |
2020-12-06 | |
发表期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters |
出版年 | 2020 |
英文摘要 | The Arctic sea ice cover is currently retreating and will continue its retreat in a warming world. However, the loss of sea ice is neither regionally nor seasonally uniform. Here we present the first regional and seasonal assessment of future Arctic sea ice loss in CMIP6 models under low (SSP126) and high (SSP585) emission scenarios, thus spanning the range of future change. We find that Arctic sea ice loss – at present predominantly limited to the summer season – will under SSP585 take place in all regions and all months. The summer sea ice is lost in all the shelf seas regardless of emission scenario, whereas ice‐free conditions in winter before the end of this century only occur in the Barents Sea. The seasonal transition to ice‐free conditions is found to spread through the Atlantic and Pacific regions, with change starting in the Barents Sea and Chukchi Sea, respectively. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/305720 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Marius Å,rthun,Ingrid H. Onarheim,等. The seasonal and regional transition to an ice‐free Arctic[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2020. |
APA | Marius Å,rthun,Ingrid H. Onarheim,Jakob Dö,rr,&Tor Eldevik.(2020).The seasonal and regional transition to an ice‐free Arctic.Geophysical Research Letters. |
MLA | Marius Å,et al."The seasonal and regional transition to an ice‐free Arctic".Geophysical Research Letters (2020). |
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