GSTDTAP  > 地球科学
DOI10.5194/acp-18-11905-2018
Changes in clouds and thermodynamics under solar geoengineering and implications for required solar reduction
Russotto, Rick D.1; Ackerman, Thomas P.1,2
2018-08-21
发表期刊ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS
ISSN1680-7316
EISSN1680-7324
出版年2018
卷号18期号:16页码:11905-11925
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

The amount of solar constant reduction required to offset the global warming from an increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration is an interesting question with implications for assessing the feasibility of solar geoengineering scenarios and for improving our theoretical understanding of Earth's climate response to greenhouse gas and solar forcings. This study investigates this question by analyzing the results of 11 coupled atmosphere-ocean global climate models running experiment G1 of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project, in which CO2 concentrations are abruptly quadrupled and the solar constant is simultaneously reduced by an amount tuned to maintain the topof- atmosphere energy balance and pre-industrial global mean temperature. The required solar constant reduction in G1 is between 3.2% and 5.0 %, depending on the model, and is uncorrelated with the models' equilibrium climate sensitivity, while a formula from the experiment specifications based on the models' effective CO2 forcing and planetary albedo is well correlated with but consistently underpredicts the required solar reduction. We propose an explanation for the required solar reduction based on CO2 instantaneous forcing and the sum of radiative adjustments to the combined CO2 and solar forcings. We quantify these radiative adjustments in G1 using established methods and explore changes in atmospheric temperature, humidity, and cloud fraction in order to understand the causes of these radiative adjustments. The zonal mean temperature response in G1 exhibits cooling in the tropics and warming in high latitudes at the surface; greater cooling in the upper troposphere at all latitudes; and stratospheric cooling which is mainly due to the CO2 increase. Tropospheric specific humidity decreases due to the temperature decrease, while stratospheric humidity may increase or decrease depending on the model's temperature change in the tropical tropopause layer. Low cloud fraction decreases in all models in G1, an effect that is robust and widespread across ocean and vegetated land areas. We attribute this to a reduction in boundary layer inversion strength over the ocean, and a reduction in the release of water from plants due to the increased CO2. High cloud fraction increases in the global mean in most models. The low cloud fraction reduction and atmospheric temperature decrease have strong warming effects on the planet, due to reduced reflection of shortwave radiation and reduced emission of longwave radiation, respectively. About 50% to 75% of the temperature effect is caused by the stratospheric cooling, while the reduction in atmospheric humidity results in increased outgoing longwave radiation that roughly offsets the tropospheric temperature effect. The longwave (LW) effect of the cloud changes is small in the global mean, despite the increase in high cloud fraction. Taken together, the sum of the diagnosed radiative adjustments and the CO2 instantaneous forcing explains the required solar forcing in G1 to within about 6 %. The cloud fraction response to the G1 experiment raises interesting questions about cloud rapid adjustments and feedbacks under solar versus greenhouse forcings, which would be best explored in a model intercomparison framework with a solar-forcing-only experiment.


领域地球科学
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000442245300002
WOS关键词EARTH SYSTEM MODEL ; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE ; CLIMATE FEEDBACKS ; BASIC EVALUATION ; CO2 ; RESPONSES ; ECMWF ; SENSITIVITY ; IRRADIANCE ; INJECTION
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30464
专题地球科学
作者单位1.Univ Washington, Dept Atmospher Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA;
2.Univ Washington, Joint Inst Study Atmosphere & Oceans, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
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GB/T 7714
Russotto, Rick D.,Ackerman, Thomas P.. Changes in clouds and thermodynamics under solar geoengineering and implications for required solar reduction[J]. ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS,2018,18(16):11905-11925.
APA Russotto, Rick D.,&Ackerman, Thomas P..(2018).Changes in clouds and thermodynamics under solar geoengineering and implications for required solar reduction.ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS,18(16),11905-11925.
MLA Russotto, Rick D.,et al."Changes in clouds and thermodynamics under solar geoengineering and implications for required solar reduction".ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS 18.16(2018):11905-11925.
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