Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-018-2157-7 |
Multi-temporal assessment of vulnerability to climate change: insights from the agricultural sector in Mexico | |
Ismael Monterroso-Rivas, Alejandro1; Cecilia Conde-Alvarez, Ana2; Luis Perez-Damian, Jose3; Lopez-Blanco, Jorge4; Gaytan-Dimas, Marcos1; David Gomez-Diaz, Jesus1 | |
2018-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 147页码:457-473 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Mexico |
英文摘要 | Vulnerability to climate change was evaluated for three different time periods: 1990, 2000, and 2010. Our objective was to discuss the scope of a multi-temporal assessment of vulnerability. The method used 55 indicators-with emphasis on the agricultural sector in Mexico-of which 27 were updated for the year 2010 and 33 were retrospectively estimated for the year 1990. The results show that in the 20-year study period, the exposure of the municipalities (and inhabitants) has increased, and sensitivity and adaptive capacity have decreased. The number of municipalities vulnerable to climate change declined over the 20-year period. We found that calculating vulnerability by adding exposure and sensitivity and subtracting adaptive capacity (E + S - AC) can lead to unintentional underestimation of total vulnerability. When rating vulnerability, care must be taken in what is reported: the results differ for the number of inhabitants versus the number of municipalities. Our previous published vulnerability evaluation was for the year 2000, so we wanted to evaluate the sensitivity of some variables and the vulnerability formula itself we used in that moment. It is possible to evaluate the vulnerability multi-temporally, which allows to evaluate the sensibility and calibration of the variables and indicators used and the reconsideration of their application. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000428427200007 |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30343 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Autonoma Chapingo, Dept Suelos, Km 38-5 Carretera Mexico Texcoco Chapingo, Texcoco 56230, Estado De Mexic, Mexico; 2.Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Ctr Ciencias Atmosfera, Circuito Invest Cient S-N,Ciudad Univ, Mexico City 04510, DF, Mexico; 3.INECC, Direcc Gest Riesgos & Adaptac Cambio Climat, Inst Nacl Ecol & Cambio Climat, Perifer Sur 5000, Mexico City 04530, DF, Mexico; 4.Environm Change Consulting, Sanchez de la Barquera 13-B509, Merced Gomez 03930, Mexico |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ismael Monterroso-Rivas, Alejandro,Cecilia Conde-Alvarez, Ana,Luis Perez-Damian, Jose,et al. Multi-temporal assessment of vulnerability to climate change: insights from the agricultural sector in Mexico[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,147:457-473. |
APA | Ismael Monterroso-Rivas, Alejandro,Cecilia Conde-Alvarez, Ana,Luis Perez-Damian, Jose,Lopez-Blanco, Jorge,Gaytan-Dimas, Marcos,&David Gomez-Diaz, Jesus.(2018).Multi-temporal assessment of vulnerability to climate change: insights from the agricultural sector in Mexico.CLIMATIC CHANGE,147,457-473. |
MLA | Ismael Monterroso-Rivas, Alejandro,et al."Multi-temporal assessment of vulnerability to climate change: insights from the agricultural sector in Mexico".CLIMATIC CHANGE 147(2018):457-473. |
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