Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-017-2030-0 |
Attributing extreme fire risk in Western Canada to human emissions | |
Kirchmeier-Young, Megan C.1,2; Zwiers, Francis W.1; Gillett, Nathan P.2; Cannon, Alex J.3 | |
2017-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 144期号:2 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Canada |
英文摘要 | Canada is expected to see an increase in fire risk under future climate projections. Large fires, such as that near Fort McMurray, Alberta in 2016, can be devastating to the communities affected. Understanding the role of human emissions in the occurrence of such extreme fire events can lend insight into how these events might change in the future. An event attribution framework is used to quantify the influence of anthropogenic forcings on extreme fire risk in the current climate of a western Canada region. Fourteen metrics from the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System are used to define the extreme fire seasons. For the majority of these metrics and during the current decade, the combined effect of anthropogenic and natural forcing is estimated to have made extreme fire risk events in the region 1.5 to 6 times as likely compared to a climate that would have been with natural forcings alone. |
英文关键词 | Event attribution Fire weather Extremes |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000409001300020 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; WEATHER ; SPREAD ; DANGER ; SYSTEM |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30330 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Victoria, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, BC V8W 2Y2, Canada; 2.Univ Victoria, Canadian Ctr Climate Modelling & Anal, Environm & Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC V8W 2Y2, Canada; 3.Univ Victoria, Climate Res Div, Environm & Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC V8W 2Y2, Canada |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kirchmeier-Young, Megan C.,Zwiers, Francis W.,Gillett, Nathan P.,et al. Attributing extreme fire risk in Western Canada to human emissions[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2017,144(2). |
APA | Kirchmeier-Young, Megan C.,Zwiers, Francis W.,Gillett, Nathan P.,&Cannon, Alex J..(2017).Attributing extreme fire risk in Western Canada to human emissions.CLIMATIC CHANGE,144(2). |
MLA | Kirchmeier-Young, Megan C.,et al."Attributing extreme fire risk in Western Canada to human emissions".CLIMATIC CHANGE 144.2(2017). |
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